Trade
[updated]
Statistics New Zealand reports that the country's deficit between what we received for exports and what we spent on imports was a record $29.7 billion in the year to September
14th Dec 22, 11:07am
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Statistics New Zealand reports that the country's deficit between what we received for exports and what we spent on imports was a record $29.7 billion in the year to September
Latest 'consensus' economists' forecasts released by the NZIER show a substantial deterioration in the past three months of how the economists view prospects - particularly in three years' time
12th Dec 22, 1:26pm
43
Latest 'consensus' economists' forecasts released by the NZIER show a substantial deterioration in the past three months of how the economists view prospects - particularly in three years' time
Figures to be released in the coming week will show the economy has continued to grow quite strongly. The Reserve Bank's attempts to 'engineer' a recession are still very much in the future yet
12th Dec 22, 9:00am
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Figures to be released in the coming week will show the economy has continued to grow quite strongly. The Reserve Bank's attempts to 'engineer' a recession are still very much in the future yet
Roger J Kerr sees coming flows of capital back to Europe and this will force the value of the US dollar lower
12th Dec 22, 8:05am
Roger J Kerr sees coming flows of capital back to Europe and this will force the value of the US dollar lower
Patricia Ranald explains the what and why behind the US geopolitical power play known as the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework
11th Dec 22, 8:00am
12
Patricia Ranald explains the what and why behind the US geopolitical power play known as the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework
If 2022 was the ‘end of the beginning,’ 2023 will be a year in which emerging global dynamics go mainstream. Position for war by other means, David Skilling argues
11th Dec 22, 6:00am
19
If 2022 was the ‘end of the beginning,’ 2023 will be a year in which emerging global dynamics go mainstream. Position for war by other means, David Skilling argues
Roger J Kerr ponders on how New Zealand will get its economic mojo back
Ross Stitt assesses Australia's awkward trade relationship with China and how it might emerge from its current deep freeze
1st Dec 22, 11:43am
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Ross Stitt assesses Australia's awkward trade relationship with China and how it might emerge from its current deep freeze
Roger J Kerr says the monetary policy 'penny-dropped' in both Wellington and New York for the RBNZ and US Federal Reserve respectively last week
28th Nov 22, 8:18am
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Roger J Kerr says the monetary policy 'penny-dropped' in both Wellington and New York for the RBNZ and US Federal Reserve respectively last week
Weaker world trade growth adds zero sum dynamics to the structural shifts underway in the global economic & political system, David Skilling says
26th Nov 22, 9:15am
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Weaker world trade growth adds zero sum dynamics to the structural shifts underway in the global economic & political system, David Skilling says
Roger J Kerr says the implications of a different inflation/interest rate track for New Zealand is that the Kiwi dollar may well once again attract 'carry-trade' offshore investors
21st Nov 22, 8:44am
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Roger J Kerr says the implications of a different inflation/interest rate track for New Zealand is that the Kiwi dollar may well once again attract 'carry-trade' offshore investors
Roger J Kerr says, it needed a special catalyst to break the US dollar bulls and stimulate aggressive USD selling
14th Nov 22, 8:29am
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Roger J Kerr says, it needed a special catalyst to break the US dollar bulls and stimulate aggressive USD selling
Roger J Kerr says the next RBNZ monetary policy statement on 23 November will be a difficult one for our central bank
7th Nov 22, 8:22am
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Roger J Kerr says the next RBNZ monetary policy statement on 23 November will be a difficult one for our central bank
Roger J Kerr says the recent signs are encouraging for the Kiwi dollar to recover to back above 0.6000 against the USD as fast as it dived from 0.6000 to 0.5550 in mid to late September
31st Oct 22, 8:20am
4
Roger J Kerr says the recent signs are encouraging for the Kiwi dollar to recover to back above 0.6000 against the USD as fast as it dived from 0.6000 to 0.5550 in mid to late September
Roger J Kerr sees “extreme and excessive” geopolitical, economic, and financial/investment market situations globally that make decision-making difficult for businesses, investors, and governments alike
24th Oct 22, 8:30am
10
Roger J Kerr sees “extreme and excessive” geopolitical, economic, and financial/investment market situations globally that make decision-making difficult for businesses, investors, and governments alike
Roger J Kerr says it would be a mistake for the Fed to maintain tight monetary policy just because core inflation is not reducing as fast as they would like
17th Oct 22, 8:05am
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Roger J Kerr says it would be a mistake for the Fed to maintain tight monetary policy just because core inflation is not reducing as fast as they would like
Roger J Kerr says a major financial collapse due to someone’s failure to meet cash margin calls on extreme leveraged positions in equities or bonds is the sort of risk event just waiting to happen
10th Oct 22, 8:55am
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Roger J Kerr says a major financial collapse due to someone’s failure to meet cash margin calls on extreme leveraged positions in equities or bonds is the sort of risk event just waiting to happen
Roger J Kerr says Kiwi dollar selling is typically very short-term and speculative in nature, often triggered by global events and economic shocks
3rd Oct 22, 8:35am
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Roger J Kerr says Kiwi dollar selling is typically very short-term and speculative in nature, often triggered by global events and economic shocks
Roger J Kerr explains the changed Fed stance, why the Japanese intervened in currency markets, why NZ monetary policy needs to be tighter, and why the NZD has fallen more than some peers
26th Sep 22, 9:22am
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Roger J Kerr explains the changed Fed stance, why the Japanese intervened in currency markets, why NZ monetary policy needs to be tighter, and why the NZD has fallen more than some peers
The super hot labour market is the biggest threat to the Reserve Bank's efforts to get inflation back under control. David Hargreaves has a crunch of some numbers
22nd Sep 22, 10:00am
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The super hot labour market is the biggest threat to the Reserve Bank's efforts to get inflation back under control. David Hargreaves has a crunch of some numbers
David Hargreaves thinks the Reserve Bank will actually be very comfortable with the latest GDP data - even if economists are not
20th Sep 22, 12:11pm
27
David Hargreaves thinks the Reserve Bank will actually be very comfortable with the latest GDP data - even if economists are not
Roger J Kerr points to evidence that rising interest rates have already 'smashed' the US housing market and inflation will soon follow sharply lower
19th Sep 22, 8:39am
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Roger J Kerr points to evidence that rising interest rates have already 'smashed' the US housing market and inflation will soon follow sharply lower
Surging demand in the country's service industries after Covid restrictions saw the country easily avoid recession in the June quarter
15th Sep 22, 11:01am
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Surging demand in the country's service industries after Covid restrictions saw the country easily avoid recession in the June quarter
Statistics New Zealand reports that the country's annual current account deficit was 7.7% of GDP for the June quarter, just short of the record high 7.8% during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis
14th Sep 22, 12:09pm
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Statistics New Zealand reports that the country's annual current account deficit was 7.7% of GDP for the June quarter, just short of the record high 7.8% during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis
BNZ economists say a very wide range of forecasts for the outcome of GDP figures this week likely reflects the 'noise' in the component parts
12th Sep 22, 3:10pm
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BNZ economists say a very wide range of forecasts for the outcome of GDP figures this week likely reflects the 'noise' in the component parts