David Chaston

Wholesale money markets are giving clear signals about where interest rates are heading. Until inflation is back within central bank targets, retail rates will rise

Wholesale money markets are giving clear signals about where interest rates are heading. Until inflation is back within central bank targets, retail rates will rise

Trump in Beijing; US PPI leaps; US crude stocks fall sharply again; Warsh now Fed Chairman; OPEC cuts global oil demand forecast; base mineral prices hit new records; UST 10yr at 4.47%; gold and oil hold; NZ$1 = 59.3 USc; TWI-5 = 62.6

Trump in Beijing; US PPI leaps; US crude stocks fall sharply again; Warsh now Fed Chairman; OPEC cuts global oil demand forecast; base mineral prices hit new records; UST 10yr at 4.47%; gold and oil hold; NZ$1 = 59.3 USc; TWI-5 = 62.6

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; no retail rate changes, house losses more common, larger penalties, more fuel, inflation expectations contained, swaps up, NZX down, NZD on hold, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; no retail rate changes, house losses more common, larger penalties, more fuel, inflation expectations contained, swaps up, NZX down, NZD on hold, & more

US inflation rises on Trump's adventure consequences; global wheat & corn output to fall; Japan spending retreats; Australia gets ambitious budget; UST 10yr at 4.47%; gold soft but oil up again; NZ$1 = 59.4 USc; TWI-5 = 62.7

US inflation rises on Trump's adventure consequences; global wheat & corn output to fall; Japan spending retreats; Australia gets ambitious budget; UST 10yr at 4.47%; gold soft but oil up again; NZ$1 = 59.4 USc; TWI-5 = 62.7

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; a flurry of negative data, March GST collections point to declining activity, FPH knocked about, carbon market activity picks up, swaps firm, NZD up, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; a flurry of negative data, March GST collections point to declining activity, FPH knocked about, carbon market activity picks up, swaps firm, NZD up, & more

US data lackluster but bond yields rise; Canadians worry about geopolitics hurting their economy; China's inflation restarts; commodity stress builds further; UST 10yr at 4.41%; gold firm and oil up; NZ$1 = 59.7 USc; TWI-5 = 62.9

US data lackluster but bond yields rise; Canadians worry about geopolitics hurting their economy; China's inflation restarts; commodity stress builds further; UST 10yr at 4.41%; gold firm and oil up; NZ$1 = 59.7 USc; TWI-5 = 62.9

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; the Worldclear Files, Foodstuffs says no inflation, critical fuel users defined, bonds rushed again, fuel stock update, swaps stable, NZD stable, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; the Worldclear Files, Foodstuffs says no inflation, critical fuel users defined, bonds rushed again, fuel stock update, swaps stable, NZD stable, & more

Our quiz is updated this week and ready to challenge you, and see how you do compared with the many hundreds of other readers doing it too

Our quiz is updated this week and ready to challenge you, and see how you do compared with the many hundreds of other readers doing it too

China's exports strong, imports stronger; US jobs seem resilient; US sentiment hit record low; Canada jobs shrink; India loan growth up; eyes on Australian budget; UST 10yr at 4.36%; gold dips and oil stable; NZ$1 = 59.7 USc; TWI-5 = 62.9

China's exports strong, imports stronger; US jobs seem resilient; US sentiment hit record low; Canada jobs shrink; India loan growth up; eyes on Australian budget; UST 10yr at 4.36%; gold dips and oil stable; NZ$1 = 59.7 USc; TWI-5 = 62.9

US payroll jobs rise, overall jobs don't; US sentiment at record lows; Canada jobs slip; global food prices rise; global sulphur shortage a big problem; UST 10yr at 4.36%; gold up and oil stable; NZ$1 = 59.6 USc; TWI-5 = 62.8

US payroll jobs rise, overall jobs don't; US sentiment at record lows; Canada jobs slip; global food prices rise; global sulphur shortage a big problem; UST 10yr at 4.36%; gold up and oil stable; NZ$1 = 59.6 USc; TWI-5 = 62.8

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; no retail rate changes, fuel costs crowd out travel plans, waiting is safer, new borrowing jumps, Yili profits jump, Toyota securitises more, swaps up NZD stable, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; no retail rate changes, fuel costs crowd out travel plans, waiting is safer, new borrowing jumps, Yili profits jump, Toyota securitises more, swaps up NZD stable, & more

US data weakish with debt stress rising suddenly; China FX reserves swell; Norway hikes; German factory orders rise; Australia discovers tariffs; Shell profits leap; UST 10yr at 4.40%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 59.5 USc; TWI-5 = 62.8

US data weakish with debt stress rising suddenly; China FX reserves swell; Norway hikes; German factory orders rise; Australia discovers tariffs; Shell profits leap; UST 10yr at 4.40%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 59.5 USc; TWI-5 = 62.8

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; OECD worries about our energy sector, rents soft, NZGBs popular, Kelly gets top spot, livestock prices turn up, swaps ease, NZX up, NZD up, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; OECD worries about our energy sector, rents soft, NZGBs popular, Kelly gets top spot, livestock prices turn up, swaps ease, NZX up, NZD up, & more

Oil prices tumble even as Hormuz remains shut; US labour market expands; China holiday travel rises; global debt demand shifts away from US Treasuries; UST 10yr at 4.35%; gold jumps and oil falls; NZ$1 = 59.5 USc; TWI-5 = 62.8

Oil prices tumble even as Hormuz remains shut; US labour market expands; China holiday travel rises; global debt demand shifts away from US Treasuries; UST 10yr at 4.35%; gold jumps and oil falls; NZ$1 = 59.5 USc; TWI-5 = 62.8

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; RBNZ sees lower house prices & worries about insurance access, Q1 labour market little-changed, rising real estate broker commissions, swaps stable, NZD up, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; RBNZ sees lower house prices & worries about insurance access, Q1 labour market little-changed, rising real estate broker commissions, swaps stable, NZD up, & more

The jobless rate steadies overall but is rising for those under 25 years. It is particularly tough for workers in the 20-25 age group

The jobless rate steadies overall but is rising for those under 25 years. It is particularly tough for workers in the 20-25 age group

Hormuz still shut despite US claims; dairy prices firm; US data mixed; Canada posts trade surplus; Singapore retail strong; RBA hikes as inflation rises; UST 10yr at 4.42%; gold firms and oil eases; NZ$1 = 58.9 USc; TWI-5 = 62.3

Hormuz still shut despite US claims; dairy prices firm; US data mixed; Canada posts trade surplus; Singapore retail strong; RBA hikes as inflation rises; UST 10yr at 4.42%; gold firms and oil eases; NZ$1 = 58.9 USc; TWI-5 = 62.3

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; BNZ & Rabobank raise rates, Barfoot reports 'difficult' April, EV sales zoom, commodity prices stay up, retail twisting on petrol, swaps stable, NZD lower, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; BNZ & Rabobank raise rates, Barfoot reports 'difficult' April, EV sales zoom, commodity prices stay up, retail twisting on petrol, swaps stable, NZD lower, & more

BNZ moves some key fixed rates up, closing the gap to its main rivals. In the background, all the pressure's on benchmark rates, both locally and internationally, are up

BNZ moves some key fixed rates up, closing the gap to its main rivals. In the background, all the pressure's on benchmark rates, both locally and internationally, are up

Active fighting resumes in Middle East; US data confirms stock building; Canada acts against US tariffs; Asian economies rise; eyes on RBA; UST 10yr at 4.44%; gold falls and oil rises; NZ$1 = 58.7 USc; TWI-5 = 62.1

Active fighting resumes in Middle East; US data confirms stock building; Canada acts against US tariffs; Asian economies rise; eyes on RBA; UST 10yr at 4.44%; gold falls and oil rises; NZ$1 = 58.7 USc; TWI-5 = 62.1

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; retailers turn glummer, Stobo review out, lakes full, new gas well drilling eyed, fuel stocks stable, swaps stable, a2 Milk buffeted, NZD firmish, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; retailers turn glummer, Stobo review out, lakes full, new gas well drilling eyed, fuel stocks stable, swaps stable, a2 Milk buffeted, NZD firmish, & more

Join fellow readers and do our latest quiz, a great challenge to start the week off with

Join fellow readers and do our latest quiz, a great challenge to start the week off with

US PMIs positive on stock builds; Japan factory PMIs positive on both export & local orders; Airbus wins in China; Hormuz traffic at crawl & risk; UST 10yr at 4.38%; gold and oil dip; NZ$1 = 59 USc; TWI-5 = 62.3

US PMIs positive on stock builds; Japan factory PMIs positive on both export & local orders; Airbus wins in China; Hormuz traffic at crawl & risk; UST 10yr at 4.38%; gold and oil dip; NZ$1 = 59 USc; TWI-5 = 62.3

Comparing our free trade deal with the EU with the newly announced Australia-EU FTA. We have at least a three year head start, one that has delivered an extra $3 bln in exports so far

Comparing our free trade deal with the EU with the newly announced Australia-EU FTA. We have at least a three year head start, one that has delivered an extra $3 bln in exports so far

Sudden stockpiling pushes US PMIs up; Canada similar but with more exports; Japan factories expand faster; China chooses Airbus for big orders; Hormuz mess lingers; UST 10yr at 4.38%; gold and oil on hold; NZ$1 = 59 USc; TWI-5 = 62.3

Sudden stockpiling pushes US PMIs up; Canada similar but with more exports; Japan factories expand faster; China chooses Airbus for big orders; Hormuz mess lingers; UST 10yr at 4.38%; gold and oil on hold; NZ$1 = 59 USc; TWI-5 = 62.3