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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

16 years 7 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr says as the halo has signs of starting to slip off PM Jacinda Ardern’s head, the Kiwi dollar is also now slipping in value in the unforgiving theatre of global currency markets
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Roger J Kerr says as the halo has signs of starting to slip off PM Jacinda Ardern’s head, the Kiwi dollar is also now slipping in value in the unforgiving theatre of global currency markets
Roger J Kerr says the Govt's 'draconian' tax change around housing has 'dramatically eliminated' the prospect of New Zealand's monetary stimulus being unwound ahead of Australia
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Roger J Kerr says the Govt's 'draconian' tax change around housing has 'dramatically eliminated' the prospect of New Zealand's monetary stimulus being unwound ahead of Australia
Roger J Kerr says the Government's purported 'shovel ready' projects to replace the loss of activity in the tourism sector have not happened and don't look like happening any time soon
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Roger J Kerr says the Government's purported 'shovel ready' projects to replace the loss of activity in the tourism sector have not happened and don't look like happening any time soon
Roger J Kerr says the Aussie Government is decisive while our Government makes announcements about future announcements; an NZ win in the America's Cup won't necessarily spark a Kiwi dollar rally
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Roger J Kerr says the Aussie Government is decisive while our Government makes announcements about future announcements; an NZ win in the America's Cup won't necessarily spark a Kiwi dollar rally
Roger J Kerr says forex investors and traders are focused on the US dollar and not keen to buy the NZ currency at such high levels
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Roger J Kerr says forex investors and traders are focused on the US dollar and not keen to buy the NZ currency at such high levels
Roger J Kerr says the probability of a weaker NZ dollar has surged as US equity markets start to fall and long-term interest rates continue to climb
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Roger J Kerr says the probability of a weaker NZ dollar has surged as US equity markets start to fall and long-term interest rates continue to climb
Roger J Kerr says a more 'dovish' than expected statement from our central bank later this week will drive the Kiwi dollar sharply lower
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Roger J Kerr says a more 'dovish' than expected statement from our central bank later this week will drive the Kiwi dollar sharply lower
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s Monetary Policy Statement next stands out as a likely candidate to break the Kiwi dollar’s shackles
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s Monetary Policy Statement next stands out as a likely candidate to break the Kiwi dollar’s shackles
Roger J Kerr says those expecting the RBNZ to be more upbeat will be disappointed even though the string of good economic data extends. Those shorting the USD may be in for a nasty surprise
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Roger J Kerr says those expecting the RBNZ to be more upbeat will be disappointed even though the string of good economic data extends. Those shorting the USD may be in for a nasty surprise
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD dropping below 70 USc over the next six months after the US delivers much stronger data and vaccine beneits start to flow. He also sees the NZD falling as the AUD takes an iron ore price hit
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Roger J Kerr sees the NZD dropping below 70 USc over the next six months after the US delivers much stronger data and vaccine beneits start to flow. He also sees the NZD falling as the AUD takes an iron ore price hit
Roger J Kerr says RBNZ economic forecasting gurus need to spend more time talking to businesses at the coal-front of the economy and less time on the theory of calibrating their econometric models to what is happening in the rest of the world
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Roger J Kerr says RBNZ economic forecasting gurus need to spend more time talking to businesses at the coal-front of the economy and less time on the theory of calibrating their econometric models to what is happening in the rest of the world
Roger J Kerr says market conditions and incentives have shifted in favour of the American currency
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Roger J Kerr says market conditions and incentives have shifted in favour of the American currency
Roger J Kerr says positives fuelling equity markets ruled out any downward NZD correction so far, other financial market signals are mixed, and the local economic outlook is dimming
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Roger J Kerr says positives fuelling equity markets ruled out any downward NZD correction so far, other financial market signals are mixed, and the local economic outlook is dimming
Roger J Kerr looks at some of the candidates that might cause a downward correction for the NZ dollar
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Roger J Kerr looks at some of the candidates that might cause a downward correction for the NZ dollar
Long time Kiwi dollar bull Roger J Kerr concludes that our currency has now overcooked itself at current levels
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Long time Kiwi dollar bull Roger J Kerr concludes that our currency has now overcooked itself at current levels
Roger J Kerr reflects on the positives and negatives for New Zealand during a most tumultuous year
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Roger J Kerr reflects on the positives and negatives for New Zealand during a most tumultuous year
Roger J Kerr says the probability of Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr making a special statement to jawbone the NZD down overtly and deliberately over the next few weeks has gone up several notches
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Roger J Kerr says the probability of Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr making a special statement to jawbone the NZD down overtly and deliberately over the next few weeks has gone up several notches
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank are already past that point of no return with too much stimulus for the current and future economic conditions
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Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank are already past that point of no return with too much stimulus for the current and future economic conditions
Roger J Kerr says any NZ dollar sell-off as a result of Reserve Bank currency jawboning this week will again be very short-lived and not sustainable against the more positive wider forces
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Roger J Kerr says any NZ dollar sell-off as a result of Reserve Bank currency jawboning this week will again be very short-lived and not sustainable against the more positive wider forces
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ appear to be assuming that exporters are not hedged and thus a higher currency vale will hinder our economic recovery
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Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ appear to be assuming that exporters are not hedged and thus a higher currency vale will hinder our economic recovery
The New Zealand currency has made good gains since the election, especially against the AUD. Now Roger J Kerr is expecting the RBNZ to face up to their excessively negative forecasting
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The New Zealand currency has made good gains since the election, especially against the AUD. Now Roger J Kerr is expecting the RBNZ to face up to their excessively negative forecasting
Roger J Kerr says the stunning New Zealand election result which sees the Labour Party assume ultimate power has removed one risk that could have pushed the NZ dollar lower in the short-term
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Roger J Kerr says the stunning New Zealand election result which sees the Labour Party assume ultimate power has removed one risk that could have pushed the NZ dollar lower in the short-term
Roger J Kerr says the foreign exchange markets are not showing any great nervousness ahead of the election
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Roger J Kerr says the foreign exchange markets are not showing any great nervousness ahead of the election
Roger J Kerr says we are in for a wild and volatile ride over coming weeks as the markets attempt to fathom out what all this means for the Presidential election
Roger J Kerr says we are in for a wild and volatile ride over coming weeks as the markets attempt to fathom out what all this means for the Presidential election
Roger J Kerr says it was not just one factor that sparked the Kiwi dollar turnaround in direction of travel, but an amalgamation of events occurring at the same time
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Roger J Kerr says it was not just one factor that sparked the Kiwi dollar turnaround in direction of travel, but an amalgamation of events occurring at the same time