Roger J Kerr

Roger J Kerr says while many commentators continue to be negative on the outlook for the NZ economy, the picture changes dramatically if China and the US can settle a trade agreement

Roger J Kerr says while many commentators continue to be negative on the outlook for the NZ economy, the picture changes dramatically if China and the US can settle a trade agreement

Roger J Kerr says some currency speculators are likely to be disappointed when the Reserve Bank doesn't deliver an interest rate cut this week

Roger J Kerr says some currency speculators are likely to be disappointed when the Reserve Bank doesn't deliver an interest rate cut this week

Roger J Kerr says the Australian dollar, with its much improved economic fundamentals, now stands out as the currency of choice for global investors

Roger J Kerr says the Australian dollar, with its much improved economic fundamentals, now stands out as the currency of choice for global investors

Roger J Kerr says New Zealand may have to lead the way again in abandoning arbitrary inflation rate targets, as that regime is no longer fit for purpose

Roger J Kerr says New Zealand may have to lead the way again in abandoning arbitrary inflation rate targets, as that regime is no longer fit for purpose

Roger J Kerr says so far the RBNZ's 50 basis point cut to the Official Cash Rate appears to be creating the exactly opposite effect to that intended on confidence

Roger J Kerr says so far the RBNZ's 50 basis point cut to the Official Cash Rate appears to be creating the exactly opposite effect to that intended on confidence

Roger J Kerr questions whether the American dollar will continue to be a safe haven currency, with the financial and investment markets now seeing the trade wars directly damaging the US economy

Roger J Kerr questions whether the American dollar will continue to be a safe haven currency, with the financial and investment markets now seeing the trade wars directly damaging the US economy

Roger J Kerr says the chances are now improving that the US President will finally start to heed the advice of those who view the escalating trade wars as counter-productive and hurting the US economy - and the President's re-election chances

Roger J Kerr says the chances are now improving that the US President will finally start to heed the advice of those who view the escalating trade wars as counter-productive and hurting the US economy - and the President's re-election chances

Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank is consistently surprising the markets with statements at odds to prior expectations - but the Kiwi dollar keeps bouncing back after the shocks

Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank is consistently surprising the markets with statements at odds to prior expectations - but the Kiwi dollar keeps bouncing back after the shocks

Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar now looks undervalued again, with the major downside risk being if the Reserve Bank is gloomier at its OCR review this week than the market expects

Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar now looks undervalued again, with the major downside risk being if the Reserve Bank is gloomier at its OCR review this week than the market expects

Roger J Kerr says the US Fed Reserve will likely cut interest rates this week; the accompanying rhetoric on economic risks and future rate cuts will determine whether the US dollar holds its recent gains or recoils

Roger J Kerr says the US Fed Reserve will likely cut interest rates this week; the accompanying rhetoric on economic risks and future rate cuts will determine whether the US dollar holds its recent gains or recoils

Roger J Kerr says spectacular increases in iron ore, coal and gold prices are producing massive positive cash flows and profits for the mining companies and boosting Aussie government royalty revenue inflows and stimulating investment into new mines

Roger J Kerr says spectacular increases in iron ore, coal and gold prices are producing massive positive cash flows and profits for the mining companies and boosting Aussie government royalty revenue inflows and stimulating investment into new mines

Roger J Kerr says conventional economic “cause and effect” paradigms are out the window and the currency markets are just one part of the jig-saw trying to work out what it means for them

Roger J Kerr says conventional economic “cause and effect” paradigms are out the window and the currency markets are just one part of the jig-saw trying to work out what it means for them

Roger J Kerr says the strong US jobs figures in June will not in themselves be enough to deter the Federal Reserve from cutting American interest rates

Roger J Kerr says the strong US jobs figures in June will not in themselves be enough to deter the Federal Reserve from cutting American interest rates

Roger J Kerr says the negative forces on the NZ dollar have reduced in intensity, while the economy’s relative performance is still pretty good, so, further gains to above 0.6800 seem likely  

Roger J Kerr says the negative forces on the NZ dollar have reduced in intensity, while the economy’s relative performance is still pretty good, so, further gains to above 0.6800 seem likely  

Roger J Kerr reckons something positive has already happened behind the scenes that we haven't yet been told about in the US-China trade dispute and he sees upcoming developments as positive for our currency

Roger J Kerr reckons something positive has already happened behind the scenes that we haven't yet been told about in the US-China trade dispute and he sees upcoming developments as positive for our currency

Roger J Kerr says Thursday's GDP figures may be a key short term factor in whether the New Zealand dollar can push back upwards again

Roger J Kerr says Thursday's GDP figures may be a key short term factor in whether the New Zealand dollar can push back upwards again

Roger J Kerr says changing interest rate market pricing in the US has caused the American dollar to lose ground

Roger J Kerr says changing interest rate market pricing in the US has caused the American dollar to lose ground

Roger J Kerr says selling of the Antipodean currencies may be exhausted, and the US greenback's rise could well prompt traders to reprise using the AUD and NZD as part of a safe haven strategy again

Roger J Kerr says selling of the Antipodean currencies may be exhausted, and the US greenback's rise could well prompt traders to reprise using the AUD and NZD as part of a safe haven strategy again

Roger J Kerr says low inflation has only come about through the global technology revolution - but this has not stopped the price of household staple items increasing at a much faster rate

Roger J Kerr says low inflation has only come about through the global technology revolution - but this has not stopped the price of household staple items increasing at a much faster rate

Roger J Kerr says the unexpected victory of the Liberal National Coalition in Australia is likely to see a number of speculative positions unwound in the FX markets, resulting in large-scale buying of the Australian dollar

Roger J Kerr says the unexpected victory of the Liberal National Coalition in Australia is likely to see a number of speculative positions unwound in the FX markets, resulting in large-scale buying of the Australian dollar

Roger J Kerr says if the RBNZ hope that lower mortgage interest rates will stimulate more consumer spending and that demand will push up prices in the economy, they will be disappointed

Roger J Kerr says if the RBNZ hope that lower mortgage interest rates will stimulate more consumer spending and that demand will push up prices in the economy, they will be disappointed

Roger J Kerr explains why he thinks neither the Reserve Bank of New Zealand nor its Australian counterpart will cut rates this week

Roger J Kerr explains why he thinks neither the Reserve Bank of New Zealand nor its Australian counterpart will cut rates this week

Roger J Kerr gives both the local and international reasons why the markets will be forced to rethink their view of the New Zealand currency

Roger J Kerr gives both the local and international reasons why the markets will be forced to rethink their view of the New Zealand currency

Roger J Kerr gives six reasons why the Official Cash Rate should not be cut and says a reversal of the value of the New Zealand dollar upwards again is inevitable once the Reserve Bank leaves the OCR unchanged on May 8

Roger J Kerr gives six reasons why the Official Cash Rate should not be cut and says a reversal of the value of the New Zealand dollar upwards again is inevitable once the Reserve Bank leaves the OCR unchanged on May 8

Roger J Kerr says there a high hurdle to any reduction in the Official Cash Rate by the Reserve Bank; outlines why interest rate cuts are not warranted

Roger J Kerr says there a high hurdle to any reduction in the Official Cash Rate by the Reserve Bank; outlines why interest rate cuts are not warranted