Roger J Kerr

Roger J Kerr says the widely forecast (though not by him) slowdown in the economy never eventuated and more positive economic news is to be expected along with an upward move in the value of the NZ dollar

Roger J Kerr says the widely forecast (though not by him) slowdown in the economy never eventuated and more positive economic news is to be expected along with an upward move in the value of the NZ dollar

Roger J Kerr expects that the 'political protest vote' from business people against the Labour Coalition government in business confidence surveys will now dissipate

Roger J Kerr expects that the 'political protest vote' from business people against the Labour Coalition government in business confidence surveys will now dissipate

Roger J Kerr says the move by the Reserve Bank from an overly dovish approach signals a central bank getting a better handle on what's really going on in the economy

Roger J Kerr says the move by the Reserve Bank from an overly dovish approach signals a central bank getting a better handle on what's really going on in the economy

Roger J Kerr examines the three factors in the run-up to Christmas that will decide whether the NZ currency can break out of its recent trading range

Roger J Kerr examines the three factors in the run-up to Christmas that will decide whether the NZ currency can break out of its recent trading range

Roger J Kerr says the largest 'cause and effect' variable on the New Zealand economy next year will be the increase in pork, beef, lamb and chicken prices

Roger J Kerr says the largest 'cause and effect' variable on the New Zealand economy next year will be the increase in pork, beef, lamb and chicken prices

Roger J Kerr says a bold NZ government would take the lead and invite in large Korean or Chinese construction conglomerates to deliver turn-key infrastructure projects

Roger J Kerr says a bold NZ government would take the lead and invite in large Korean or Chinese construction conglomerates to deliver turn-key infrastructure projects

Roger J Kerr says the smart FX money will now anticipate improving business confidence in NZ and the Government's 'negative influence' should just be dismissed as not that relevant

Roger J Kerr says the smart FX money will now anticipate improving business confidence in NZ and the Government's 'negative influence' should just be dismissed as not that relevant

Roger J Kerr wonders whether the 'phase 1' trade deal and swine flu factors are game-changers for the Kiwi dollar

Roger J Kerr wonders whether the 'phase 1' trade deal and swine flu factors are game-changers for the Kiwi dollar

Roger J Kerr says the gloom being portrayed by businesses has nothing to do with the performance of the economy or their businesses

Roger J Kerr says the gloom being portrayed by businesses has nothing to do with the performance of the economy or their businesses

Roger J Kerr says while many commentators continue to be negative on the outlook for the NZ economy, the picture changes dramatically if China and the US can settle a trade agreement

Roger J Kerr says while many commentators continue to be negative on the outlook for the NZ economy, the picture changes dramatically if China and the US can settle a trade agreement

Roger J Kerr says some currency speculators are likely to be disappointed when the Reserve Bank doesn't deliver an interest rate cut this week

Roger J Kerr says some currency speculators are likely to be disappointed when the Reserve Bank doesn't deliver an interest rate cut this week

Roger J Kerr says the Australian dollar, with its much improved economic fundamentals, now stands out as the currency of choice for global investors

Roger J Kerr says the Australian dollar, with its much improved economic fundamentals, now stands out as the currency of choice for global investors

Roger J Kerr says New Zealand may have to lead the way again in abandoning arbitrary inflation rate targets, as that regime is no longer fit for purpose

Roger J Kerr says New Zealand may have to lead the way again in abandoning arbitrary inflation rate targets, as that regime is no longer fit for purpose

Roger J Kerr says so far the RBNZ's 50 basis point cut to the Official Cash Rate appears to be creating the exactly opposite effect to that intended on confidence

Roger J Kerr says so far the RBNZ's 50 basis point cut to the Official Cash Rate appears to be creating the exactly opposite effect to that intended on confidence

Roger J Kerr questions whether the American dollar will continue to be a safe haven currency, with the financial and investment markets now seeing the trade wars directly damaging the US economy

Roger J Kerr questions whether the American dollar will continue to be a safe haven currency, with the financial and investment markets now seeing the trade wars directly damaging the US economy

Roger J Kerr says the chances are now improving that the US President will finally start to heed the advice of those who view the escalating trade wars as counter-productive and hurting the US economy - and the President's re-election chances

Roger J Kerr says the chances are now improving that the US President will finally start to heed the advice of those who view the escalating trade wars as counter-productive and hurting the US economy - and the President's re-election chances

Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank is consistently surprising the markets with statements at odds to prior expectations - but the Kiwi dollar keeps bouncing back after the shocks

Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank is consistently surprising the markets with statements at odds to prior expectations - but the Kiwi dollar keeps bouncing back after the shocks

Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar now looks undervalued again, with the major downside risk being if the Reserve Bank is gloomier at its OCR review this week than the market expects

Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar now looks undervalued again, with the major downside risk being if the Reserve Bank is gloomier at its OCR review this week than the market expects

Roger J Kerr says the US Fed Reserve will likely cut interest rates this week; the accompanying rhetoric on economic risks and future rate cuts will determine whether the US dollar holds its recent gains or recoils

Roger J Kerr says the US Fed Reserve will likely cut interest rates this week; the accompanying rhetoric on economic risks and future rate cuts will determine whether the US dollar holds its recent gains or recoils

Roger J Kerr says spectacular increases in iron ore, coal and gold prices are producing massive positive cash flows and profits for the mining companies and boosting Aussie government royalty revenue inflows and stimulating investment into new mines

Roger J Kerr says spectacular increases in iron ore, coal and gold prices are producing massive positive cash flows and profits for the mining companies and boosting Aussie government royalty revenue inflows and stimulating investment into new mines

Roger J Kerr says conventional economic “cause and effect” paradigms are out the window and the currency markets are just one part of the jig-saw trying to work out what it means for them

Roger J Kerr says conventional economic “cause and effect” paradigms are out the window and the currency markets are just one part of the jig-saw trying to work out what it means for them

Roger J Kerr says the strong US jobs figures in June will not in themselves be enough to deter the Federal Reserve from cutting American interest rates

Roger J Kerr says the strong US jobs figures in June will not in themselves be enough to deter the Federal Reserve from cutting American interest rates

Roger J Kerr says the negative forces on the NZ dollar have reduced in intensity, while the economy’s relative performance is still pretty good, so, further gains to above 0.6800 seem likely  

Roger J Kerr says the negative forces on the NZ dollar have reduced in intensity, while the economy’s relative performance is still pretty good, so, further gains to above 0.6800 seem likely  

Roger J Kerr reckons something positive has already happened behind the scenes that we haven't yet been told about in the US-China trade dispute and he sees upcoming developments as positive for our currency

Roger J Kerr reckons something positive has already happened behind the scenes that we haven't yet been told about in the US-China trade dispute and he sees upcoming developments as positive for our currency

Roger J Kerr says Thursday's GDP figures may be a key short term factor in whether the New Zealand dollar can push back upwards again

Roger J Kerr says Thursday's GDP figures may be a key short term factor in whether the New Zealand dollar can push back upwards again