Roger J Kerr

Roger J Kerr says there is a fair chance Reserve Bank's next statement in May will again surprise the financial markets as being more balanced on the economic outlook than the outright dovish tone currently expected

Roger J Kerr says there is a fair chance Reserve Bank's next statement in May will again surprise the financial markets as being more balanced on the economic outlook than the outright dovish tone currently expected

Roger J Kerr questions the change in stance of the Reserve Bank and says conditions in the economy have not really changed to justify the renewed dovish tone

Roger J Kerr questions the change in stance of the Reserve Bank and says conditions in the economy have not really changed to justify the renewed dovish tone

Roger J Kerr says it will take some 'extraordinarily positive' news to propel the Kiwi dollar through the US70c barrier in coming months

Roger J Kerr says it will take some 'extraordinarily positive' news to propel the Kiwi dollar through the US70c barrier in coming months

Roger J Kerr says the stage is set for a big turnaround in the Australian exchange rate and when that happens the NZ dollar-Aussie dollar cross-rate will reverse back towards A93c 'as it always does'

Roger J Kerr says the stage is set for a big turnaround in the Australian exchange rate and when that happens the NZ dollar-Aussie dollar cross-rate will reverse back towards A93c 'as it always does'

Roger J Kerr says the current pessimism around the Australian and New Zealand currencies is not justified

Roger J Kerr says the current pessimism around the Australian and New Zealand currencies is not justified

Roger J Kerr says being over-reliant on a particular exchange forecast when managing FX risks has its own dangers when those forecasts suddenly change or are extreme and thus seem a long way from reality

Roger J Kerr says being over-reliant on a particular exchange forecast when managing FX risks has its own dangers when those forecasts suddenly change or are extreme and thus seem a long way from reality

After a wild week for the NZ dollar, Roger J Kerr says a positive trade outcome between the US and China would be good for the Kiwi currency

After a wild week for the NZ dollar, Roger J Kerr says a positive trade outcome between the US and China would be good for the Kiwi currency

Roger J Kerr says the 'reef fish' are still with us in the foreign exchange market and they've been forced to hastily swim back the other way

Roger J Kerr says the 'reef fish' are still with us in the foreign exchange market and they've been forced to hastily swim back the other way

Roger J Kerr says the latest unemployment figure seems like a 'rogue' number and he believes in time it will be proven that the labour market did not suddenly turn soft in the December quarter

Roger J Kerr says the latest unemployment figure seems like a 'rogue' number and he believes in time it will be proven that the labour market did not suddenly turn soft in the December quarter

Roger J Kerr says a combination of a recovering Australian dollar and a weaker American currency has helped to push the NZ dollar higher; sees further gains for the Kiwi in coming weeks and months

Roger J Kerr says a combination of a recovering Australian dollar and a weaker American currency has helped to push the NZ dollar higher; sees further gains for the Kiwi in coming weeks and months

Roger J Kerr says low local inflation has reduced the risk of a NZD selloff, the NZD won't fall relative to the major currencies, and the gloomy AUD view is overdone

Roger J Kerr says low local inflation has reduced the risk of a NZD selloff, the NZD won't fall relative to the major currencies, and the gloomy AUD view is overdone

Roger J Kerr says the NZD isn't rising on improving global risk tolerance, and upcoming inflation figures will be key to the Kiwi's direction

Roger J Kerr says the NZD isn't rising on improving global risk tolerance, and upcoming inflation figures will be key to the Kiwi's direction

Roger J Kerr sees the neagtives accumulating for the US dollar allowing the Kiwi dollar to rise along with a global sentiment shift

Roger J Kerr sees the neagtives accumulating for the US dollar allowing the Kiwi dollar to rise along with a global sentiment shift

Roger J Kerr looks at the new year currency puzzle and sees the Kiwi dollar caught in the backwash of global market volatility

Roger J Kerr looks at the new year currency puzzle and sees the Kiwi dollar caught in the backwash of global market volatility

Roger J Kerr ends the year with some specific predictions on how the Kiwi dollar will track in 2019. He sees a game of three halves

Roger J Kerr ends the year with some specific predictions on how the Kiwi dollar will track in 2019. He sees a game of three halves

Roger J Kerr says the mood towards the US dollar value over 2019 should turn more negative, with the sharp increase in the US Government’s budget deficit cited as a reason to adjust USD currency holdings lower

Roger J Kerr says the mood towards the US dollar value over 2019 should turn more negative, with the sharp increase in the US Government’s budget deficit cited as a reason to adjust USD currency holdings lower

Roger J Kerr says moves in the US and Australian currencies will determine the next direction for the New Zealand dollar

Roger J Kerr says moves in the US and Australian currencies will determine the next direction for the New Zealand dollar

Roger J Kerr suggests the Kiwi dollar may have struck fair equilibrium value in the US68c to US70c range

Roger J Kerr suggests the Kiwi dollar may have struck fair equilibrium value in the US68c to US70c range

Roger J Kerr examines the positives for the New Zealand dollar - and the negatives for global oil prices

Roger J Kerr examines the positives for the New Zealand dollar - and the negatives for global oil prices

Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar is now likely to go above US70c in coming weeks as speculators continue to unwind 'short-sold' positions and climb back into the Kiwi

Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar is now likely to go above US70c in coming weeks as speculators continue to unwind 'short-sold' positions and climb back into the Kiwi

Roger J Kerr says the sharp recent revival of the New Zealand currency is due to a combination of factors

Roger J Kerr says the sharp recent revival of the New Zealand currency is due to a combination of factors

Roger J Kerr sees more positives for the Kiwi dollar from global developments but believes the currency may give back some of its recent gains if the Reserve Bank 'inexplicably' maintains its 'overtly dovish economic outlook'

Roger J Kerr sees more positives for the Kiwi dollar from global developments but believes the currency may give back some of its recent gains if the Reserve Bank 'inexplicably' maintains its 'overtly dovish economic outlook'

Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ will be forced by the data to revise their inflation forecasts higher, and it will be impossible for them to maintain their overtly dovish tone of recent statements.

Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ will be forced by the data to revise their inflation forecasts higher, and it will be impossible for them to maintain their overtly dovish tone of recent statements.

Roger J Kerr says the strong performance of the Kiwi dollar recently underlines how oversold it had become. Its rise against the AUD deserves special mention

Roger J Kerr says the strong performance of the Kiwi dollar recently underlines how oversold it had become. Its rise against the AUD deserves special mention

Roger J Kerr says the big sell-off that has been seen in the Kiwi dollar is really due to the falling Australian dollar - which itself is a reflection of the weaker Chinese economy

Roger J Kerr says the big sell-off that has been seen in the Kiwi dollar is really due to the falling Australian dollar - which itself is a reflection of the weaker Chinese economy