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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

16 years 7 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar is caught in the crossfire of US investors retreating to home base
13
Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar is caught in the crossfire of US investors retreating to home base
Roger J Kerr says the pandemic panic will keep the Kiwi dollar under pressure (and watch out for incoming billionaires)
6
Roger J Kerr says the pandemic panic will keep the Kiwi dollar under pressure (and watch out for incoming billionaires)
Roger J Kerr sees China, Australia and New Zealand in much better fiscal position to battle economic effects of Covid-19, and that the greenback is starting to be seen as weakened by the crisis
28
Roger J Kerr sees China, Australia and New Zealand in much better fiscal position to battle economic effects of Covid-19, and that the greenback is starting to be seen as weakened by the crisis
Roger J Kerr doubts monetary policy easing will have much impact on a biologic and supply-side shock but may still happen as part of a general over-reaction by financial and investment markets
25
Roger J Kerr doubts monetary policy easing will have much impact on a biologic and supply-side shock but may still happen as part of a general over-reaction by financial and investment markets
Roger J Kerr says despite the current turbulence in global markets, New Zealand's relative economic position is not diminished
1
Roger J Kerr says despite the current turbulence in global markets, New Zealand's relative economic position is not diminished
Roger J Kerr believes as the coronavirus economic impact plays out foreign exchange markets will recognise that the Kiwi and Aussie dollars have been oversold in the initial negative reaction to the outbreak of the virus
4
Roger J Kerr believes as the coronavirus economic impact plays out foreign exchange markets will recognise that the Kiwi and Aussie dollars have been oversold in the initial negative reaction to the outbreak of the virus
Roger J Kerr assesses the impact of another pivotal change in Australian monetary policy management
2
Roger J Kerr assesses the impact of another pivotal change in Australian monetary policy management
Roger J Kerr says some positive economic data this week could see an end to the almost panic selling of the NZ dollar witnessed in the face of the coronavirus scare
22
Roger J Kerr says some positive economic data this week could see an end to the almost panic selling of the NZ dollar witnessed in the face of the coronavirus scare
Global geo-political risk events hold centre stage, but locally inflation shows it has not disappeared. Export-wise, meat shortages in China remains a massive issue
1
Global geo-political risk events hold centre stage, but locally inflation shows it has not disappeared. Export-wise, meat shortages in China remains a massive issue
Roger J Kerr says the environmental/climate change lobby is enforcing impositions on our major industry that if continued will lower economic growth and living standards in New Zealand
59
Roger J Kerr says the environmental/climate change lobby is enforcing impositions on our major industry that if continued will lower economic growth and living standards in New Zealand
Roger J Kerr examines the 'classic short-term speculative play' that has been seen in the Kiwi dollar over the past six months by offshore currency traders
6
Roger J Kerr examines the 'classic short-term speculative play' that has been seen in the Kiwi dollar over the past six months by offshore currency traders
Roger J Kerr says the unwinding of speculative short-sold Kiwi dollar positions caused a spectacular turn up, and fresh global geo-political risks halt the USD decline
3
Roger J Kerr says the unwinding of speculative short-sold Kiwi dollar positions caused a spectacular turn up, and fresh global geo-political risks halt the USD decline
 Roger J Kerr says 2019 featured a misreading of the fundamentals by most economic forecasters and 2020 should be more positive for the NZD as the greenback weakens, moving the Kiwi dollar towards 70 USc
26
 Roger J Kerr says 2019 featured a misreading of the fundamentals by most economic forecasters and 2020 should be more positive for the NZD as the greenback weakens, moving the Kiwi dollar towards 70 USc
Roger J Kerr says as 'growth and commodity' currencies, the Kiwi and Aussie dollars stand to gain as businesses around the world have the confidence to invest again as economic risk reduces
1
Roger J Kerr says as 'growth and commodity' currencies, the Kiwi and Aussie dollars stand to gain as businesses around the world have the confidence to invest again as economic risk reduces
Roger J Kerr says the 'inevitable' unwinding of record-high short-sold positions in the Kiwi dollar is well under way and he sees further gains in the value of our currency before year-end
6
Roger J Kerr says the 'inevitable' unwinding of record-high short-sold positions in the Kiwi dollar is well under way and he sees further gains in the value of our currency before year-end
Roger J Kerr says the widely forecast (though not by him) slowdown in the economy never eventuated and more positive economic news is to be expected along with an upward move in the value of the NZ dollar
8
Roger J Kerr says the widely forecast (though not by him) slowdown in the economy never eventuated and more positive economic news is to be expected along with an upward move in the value of the NZ dollar
Roger J Kerr expects that the 'political protest vote' from business people against the Labour Coalition government in business confidence surveys will now dissipate
12
Roger J Kerr expects that the 'political protest vote' from business people against the Labour Coalition government in business confidence surveys will now dissipate
Roger J Kerr says the move by the Reserve Bank from an overly dovish approach signals a central bank getting a better handle on what's really going on in the economy
8
Roger J Kerr says the move by the Reserve Bank from an overly dovish approach signals a central bank getting a better handle on what's really going on in the economy
Roger J Kerr examines the three factors in the run-up to Christmas that will decide whether the NZ currency can break out of its recent trading range
5
Roger J Kerr examines the three factors in the run-up to Christmas that will decide whether the NZ currency can break out of its recent trading range
Roger J Kerr says the largest 'cause and effect' variable on the New Zealand economy next year will be the increase in pork, beef, lamb and chicken prices
20
Roger J Kerr says the largest 'cause and effect' variable on the New Zealand economy next year will be the increase in pork, beef, lamb and chicken prices
Roger J Kerr says a bold NZ government would take the lead and invite in large Korean or Chinese construction conglomerates to deliver turn-key infrastructure projects
12
Roger J Kerr says a bold NZ government would take the lead and invite in large Korean or Chinese construction conglomerates to deliver turn-key infrastructure projects
Roger J Kerr says the smart FX money will now anticipate improving business confidence in NZ and the Government's 'negative influence' should just be dismissed as not that relevant
9
Roger J Kerr says the smart FX money will now anticipate improving business confidence in NZ and the Government's 'negative influence' should just be dismissed as not that relevant
Roger J Kerr wonders whether the 'phase 1' trade deal and swine flu factors are game-changers for the Kiwi dollar
15
Roger J Kerr wonders whether the 'phase 1' trade deal and swine flu factors are game-changers for the Kiwi dollar
Roger J Kerr says the gloom being portrayed by businesses has nothing to do with the performance of the economy or their businesses
8
Roger J Kerr says the gloom being portrayed by businesses has nothing to do with the performance of the economy or their businesses
Roger J Kerr says while many commentators continue to be negative on the outlook for the NZ economy, the picture changes dramatically if China and the US can settle a trade agreement
13
Roger J Kerr says while many commentators continue to be negative on the outlook for the NZ economy, the picture changes dramatically if China and the US can settle a trade agreement