Roger J Kerr

Roger J Kerr says the latest unemployment figure seems like a 'rogue' number and he believes in time it will be proven that the labour market did not suddenly turn soft in the December quarter

Roger J Kerr says the latest unemployment figure seems like a 'rogue' number and he believes in time it will be proven that the labour market did not suddenly turn soft in the December quarter

Roger J Kerr says a combination of a recovering Australian dollar and a weaker American currency has helped to push the NZ dollar higher; sees further gains for the Kiwi in coming weeks and months

Roger J Kerr says a combination of a recovering Australian dollar and a weaker American currency has helped to push the NZ dollar higher; sees further gains for the Kiwi in coming weeks and months

Roger J Kerr says low local inflation has reduced the risk of a NZD selloff, the NZD won't fall relative to the major currencies, and the gloomy AUD view is overdone

Roger J Kerr says low local inflation has reduced the risk of a NZD selloff, the NZD won't fall relative to the major currencies, and the gloomy AUD view is overdone

Roger J Kerr says the NZD isn't rising on improving global risk tolerance, and upcoming inflation figures will be key to the Kiwi's direction

Roger J Kerr says the NZD isn't rising on improving global risk tolerance, and upcoming inflation figures will be key to the Kiwi's direction

Roger J Kerr sees the neagtives accumulating for the US dollar allowing the Kiwi dollar to rise along with a global sentiment shift

Roger J Kerr sees the neagtives accumulating for the US dollar allowing the Kiwi dollar to rise along with a global sentiment shift

Roger J Kerr looks at the new year currency puzzle and sees the Kiwi dollar caught in the backwash of global market volatility

Roger J Kerr looks at the new year currency puzzle and sees the Kiwi dollar caught in the backwash of global market volatility

Roger J Kerr ends the year with some specific predictions on how the Kiwi dollar will track in 2019. He sees a game of three halves

Roger J Kerr ends the year with some specific predictions on how the Kiwi dollar will track in 2019. He sees a game of three halves

Roger J Kerr says the mood towards the US dollar value over 2019 should turn more negative, with the sharp increase in the US Government’s budget deficit cited as a reason to adjust USD currency holdings lower

Roger J Kerr says the mood towards the US dollar value over 2019 should turn more negative, with the sharp increase in the US Government’s budget deficit cited as a reason to adjust USD currency holdings lower

Roger J Kerr says moves in the US and Australian currencies will determine the next direction for the New Zealand dollar

Roger J Kerr says moves in the US and Australian currencies will determine the next direction for the New Zealand dollar

Roger J Kerr suggests the Kiwi dollar may have struck fair equilibrium value in the US68c to US70c range

Roger J Kerr suggests the Kiwi dollar may have struck fair equilibrium value in the US68c to US70c range

Roger J Kerr examines the positives for the New Zealand dollar - and the negatives for global oil prices

Roger J Kerr examines the positives for the New Zealand dollar - and the negatives for global oil prices

Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar is now likely to go above US70c in coming weeks as speculators continue to unwind 'short-sold' positions and climb back into the Kiwi

Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar is now likely to go above US70c in coming weeks as speculators continue to unwind 'short-sold' positions and climb back into the Kiwi

Roger J Kerr says the sharp recent revival of the New Zealand currency is due to a combination of factors

Roger J Kerr says the sharp recent revival of the New Zealand currency is due to a combination of factors

Roger J Kerr sees more positives for the Kiwi dollar from global developments but believes the currency may give back some of its recent gains if the Reserve Bank 'inexplicably' maintains its 'overtly dovish economic outlook'

Roger J Kerr sees more positives for the Kiwi dollar from global developments but believes the currency may give back some of its recent gains if the Reserve Bank 'inexplicably' maintains its 'overtly dovish economic outlook'

Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ will be forced by the data to revise their inflation forecasts higher, and it will be impossible for them to maintain their overtly dovish tone of recent statements.

Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ will be forced by the data to revise their inflation forecasts higher, and it will be impossible for them to maintain their overtly dovish tone of recent statements.

Roger J Kerr says the strong performance of the Kiwi dollar recently underlines how oversold it had become. Its rise against the AUD deserves special mention

Roger J Kerr says the strong performance of the Kiwi dollar recently underlines how oversold it had become. Its rise against the AUD deserves special mention

Roger J Kerr says the big sell-off that has been seen in the Kiwi dollar is really due to the falling Australian dollar - which itself is a reflection of the weaker Chinese economy

Roger J Kerr says the big sell-off that has been seen in the Kiwi dollar is really due to the falling Australian dollar - which itself is a reflection of the weaker Chinese economy

Roger J Kerr says the next significant event for the Kiwi dollar on its own account will be the CPI data for the September quarter released on Tuesday 16 October

Roger J Kerr says the next significant event for the Kiwi dollar on its own account will be the CPI data for the September quarter released on Tuesday 16 October

Roger J Kerr says the rising global oil prices we are seeing have direct implications for currency values

Roger J Kerr says the rising global oil prices we are seeing have direct implications for currency values

Roger J Kerr says the outstanding GDP figures will prompt speculators to reverse their positions in the Kiwi dollar; RBNZ may be forced to change its tune on the economy and inflation

Roger J Kerr says the outstanding GDP figures will prompt speculators to reverse their positions in the Kiwi dollar; RBNZ may be forced to change its tune on the economy and inflation

Roger J Kerr says exporters who budgeted US dollar export receipts at US70c and above now have the opportunity to significantly reduce future currency risk and lock-in company profitability over several years

Roger J Kerr says exporters who budgeted US dollar export receipts at US70c and above now have the opportunity to significantly reduce future currency risk and lock-in company profitability over several years

Roger J Kerr says classifying the NZ and Aussie economies/currencies in the same mould as Turkey and Argentina would be a plainly ridiculous perspective that will not be sustainable

Roger J Kerr says classifying the NZ and Aussie economies/currencies in the same mould as Turkey and Argentina would be a plainly ridiculous perspective that will not be sustainable

Roger J Kerr says unless you firmly believe that the US dollar is about to take off and dairy prices are about to collapse, it is hard to fathom how forecasts of the NZ dollar falling to US60c will be proven to be accurate

Roger J Kerr says unless you firmly believe that the US dollar is about to take off and dairy prices are about to collapse, it is hard to fathom how forecasts of the NZ dollar falling to US60c will be proven to be accurate

Roger J Kerr says it would be dangerous for exporters and importers to automatically assume the Kiwi dollar will continue to decline against the American currency

Roger J Kerr says it would be dangerous for exporters and importers to automatically assume the Kiwi dollar will continue to decline against the American currency

Roger J Kerr says the timing of the legislation banning some foreigners from buying real estate here confirms the negative sentiment towards the New Zealand currency

Roger J Kerr says the timing of the legislation banning some foreigners from buying real estate here confirms the negative sentiment towards the New Zealand currency