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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 2 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr says the next significant event for the Kiwi dollar on its own account will be the CPI data for the September quarter released on Tuesday 16 October
8th Oct 18, 9:29am
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Roger J Kerr says the next significant event for the Kiwi dollar on its own account will be the CPI data for the September quarter released on Tuesday 16 October
Roger J Kerr says the rising global oil prices we are seeing have direct implications for currency values
1st Oct 18, 8:29am
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Roger J Kerr says the rising global oil prices we are seeing have direct implications for currency values
Roger J Kerr says the outstanding GDP figures will prompt speculators to reverse their positions in the Kiwi dollar; RBNZ may be forced to change its tune on the economy and inflation
24th Sep 18, 8:34am
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Roger J Kerr says the outstanding GDP figures will prompt speculators to reverse their positions in the Kiwi dollar; RBNZ may be forced to change its tune on the economy and inflation
Roger J Kerr says exporters who budgeted US dollar export receipts at US70c and above now have the opportunity to significantly reduce future currency risk and lock-in company profitability over several years
17th Sep 18, 8:40am
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Roger J Kerr says exporters who budgeted US dollar export receipts at US70c and above now have the opportunity to significantly reduce future currency risk and lock-in company profitability over several years
Roger J Kerr says classifying the NZ and Aussie economies/currencies in the same mould as Turkey and Argentina would be a plainly ridiculous perspective that will not be sustainable
10th Sep 18, 8:43am
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Roger J Kerr says classifying the NZ and Aussie economies/currencies in the same mould as Turkey and Argentina would be a plainly ridiculous perspective that will not be sustainable
Roger J Kerr says unless you firmly believe that the US dollar is about to take off and dairy prices are about to collapse, it is hard to fathom how forecasts of the NZ dollar falling to US60c will be proven to be accurate
3rd Sep 18, 8:39am
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Roger J Kerr says unless you firmly believe that the US dollar is about to take off and dairy prices are about to collapse, it is hard to fathom how forecasts of the NZ dollar falling to US60c will be proven to be accurate
Roger J Kerr says it would be dangerous for exporters and importers to automatically assume the Kiwi dollar will continue to decline against the American currency
27th Aug 18, 8:31am
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Roger J Kerr says it would be dangerous for exporters and importers to automatically assume the Kiwi dollar will continue to decline against the American currency
Roger J Kerr says the timing of the legislation banning some foreigners from buying real estate here confirms the negative sentiment towards the New Zealand currency
20th Aug 18, 9:03am
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Roger J Kerr says the timing of the legislation banning some foreigners from buying real estate here confirms the negative sentiment towards the New Zealand currency
Roger J Kerr dissects a week in which the Kiwi currency was staggered by blows firstly from the RBNZ and then worries about the escalating crisis in Turkey; he believes the currency is not down for the count however
13th Aug 18, 8:34am
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Roger J Kerr dissects a week in which the Kiwi currency was staggered by blows firstly from the RBNZ and then worries about the escalating crisis in Turkey; he believes the currency is not down for the count however
Roger J Kerr says foreign investors are not going to be positive on the NZ economy and currency if they see that the locals are so downbeat on their own prospects
6th Aug 18, 9:01am
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Roger J Kerr says foreign investors are not going to be positive on the NZ economy and currency if they see that the locals are so downbeat on their own prospects
Roger J Kerr outlines why oil and milk prices are important drivers of the New Zealand dollar's value
30th Jul 18, 9:21am
Roger J Kerr outlines why oil and milk prices are important drivers of the New Zealand dollar's value
Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar is unlikely to fall in any Trump-led currency war backwash
23rd Jul 18, 8:54am
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Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar is unlikely to fall in any Trump-led currency war backwash
Roger J Kerr says a continuation down the isolationist trade path that the US are now travelling will prove to be the tragedy for the US economy and the legacy of the Trump regime
16th Jul 18, 8:32am
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Roger J Kerr says a continuation down the isolationist trade path that the US are now travelling will prove to be the tragedy for the US economy and the legacy of the Trump regime
Roger J Kerr says a return of the NZD/USD exchange rate to 0.7000 over coming weeks should be expected as speculative trading positions are all unwound in a one-way Kiwi dollar market
9th Jul 18, 8:46am
Roger J Kerr says a return of the NZD/USD exchange rate to 0.7000 over coming weeks should be expected as speculative trading positions are all unwound in a one-way Kiwi dollar market
Roger J Kerr says new RBNZ Governor, Adrian Orr may be at risk of playing the 'dovish' outlook-on-inflation-card a little too much, too soon in the current environment
2nd Jul 18, 8:24am
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Roger J Kerr says new RBNZ Governor, Adrian Orr may be at risk of playing the 'dovish' outlook-on-inflation-card a little too much, too soon in the current environment
Roger J Kerr analyses the likely range of trading for the Kiwi dollar in coming months and the reasons why
7th May 18, 9:02am
Roger J Kerr analyses the likely range of trading for the Kiwi dollar in coming months and the reasons why
Roger J Kerr says NZ bonds are at risk of being sold off by foreign investors - and next week's Budget may be a trigger point
7th May 18, 8:22am
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Roger J Kerr says NZ bonds are at risk of being sold off by foreign investors - and next week's Budget may be a trigger point
Roger J Kerr looks at some of the factors that have combined to turn the tide with the New Zealand dollar
30th Apr 18, 9:11am
Roger J Kerr looks at some of the factors that have combined to turn the tide with the New Zealand dollar
Roger J Kerr with some questions for the RBNZ to consider in the run up to the new Governor's first Monetary Policy Statement next month
30th Apr 18, 8:48am
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Roger J Kerr with some questions for the RBNZ to consider in the run up to the new Governor's first Monetary Policy Statement next month
Roger J Kerr says the unwinding of speculative currency market positions is now threatening to send the Kiwi dollar lower still in the near term
23rd Apr 18, 11:43am
Roger J Kerr says the unwinding of speculative currency market positions is now threatening to send the Kiwi dollar lower still in the near term
Roger J Kerr now sees it as less likely that business confidence is going to recover
23rd Apr 18, 11:24am
Roger J Kerr now sees it as less likely that business confidence is going to recover
Roger J Kerr says offshore investors looking to put capital into New Zealand would be fully justified in hesitating from doing so in the current political and regulatory environment
16th Apr 18, 9:58am
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Roger J Kerr says offshore investors looking to put capital into New Zealand would be fully justified in hesitating from doing so in the current political and regulatory environment
Roger J Kerr sees a deteriorating New Zealand economic outlook, partly because of policies being implemented by the new Government
16th Apr 18, 9:35am
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Roger J Kerr sees a deteriorating New Zealand economic outlook, partly because of policies being implemented by the new Government
Roger J Kerr says the foreign exchange markets have been slow to recognise the downside to the NZ economy from the escalating US/China trade war
9th Apr 18, 9:07am
Roger J Kerr says the foreign exchange markets have been slow to recognise the downside to the NZ economy from the escalating US/China trade war
As Donald Trump wreaks havoc with investor sentiment, Roger J Kerr ponders the value of investing in corporate bonds - and how you go about doing it
9th Apr 18, 8:47am
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As Donald Trump wreaks havoc with investor sentiment, Roger J Kerr ponders the value of investing in corporate bonds - and how you go about doing it