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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 4 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr says moves in the US and Australian currencies will determine the next direction for the New Zealand dollar
10th Dec 18, 8:08am
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Roger J Kerr says moves in the US and Australian currencies will determine the next direction for the New Zealand dollar
Roger J Kerr suggests the Kiwi dollar may have struck fair equilibrium value in the US68c to US70c range
3rd Dec 18, 8:26am
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Roger J Kerr suggests the Kiwi dollar may have struck fair equilibrium value in the US68c to US70c range
Roger J Kerr examines the positives for the New Zealand dollar - and the negatives for global oil prices
26th Nov 18, 8:37am
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Roger J Kerr examines the positives for the New Zealand dollar - and the negatives for global oil prices
Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar is now likely to go above US70c in coming weeks as speculators continue to unwind 'short-sold' positions and climb back into the Kiwi
19th Nov 18, 8:16am
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Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar is now likely to go above US70c in coming weeks as speculators continue to unwind 'short-sold' positions and climb back into the Kiwi
Roger J Kerr says the sharp recent revival of the New Zealand currency is due to a combination of factors
12th Nov 18, 8:03am
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Roger J Kerr says the sharp recent revival of the New Zealand currency is due to a combination of factors
Roger J Kerr sees more positives for the Kiwi dollar from global developments but believes the currency may give back some of its recent gains if the Reserve Bank 'inexplicably' maintains its 'overtly dovish economic outlook'
5th Nov 18, 8:09am
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Roger J Kerr sees more positives for the Kiwi dollar from global developments but believes the currency may give back some of its recent gains if the Reserve Bank 'inexplicably' maintains its 'overtly dovish economic outlook'
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ will be forced by the data to revise their inflation forecasts higher, and it will be impossible for them to maintain their overtly dovish tone of recent statements.
29th Oct 18, 9:37am
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Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ will be forced by the data to revise their inflation forecasts higher, and it will be impossible for them to maintain their overtly dovish tone of recent statements.
Roger J Kerr says the strong performance of the Kiwi dollar recently underlines how oversold it had become. Its rise against the AUD deserves special mention
23rd Oct 18, 8:00am
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Roger J Kerr says the strong performance of the Kiwi dollar recently underlines how oversold it had become. Its rise against the AUD deserves special mention
Roger J Kerr says the big sell-off that has been seen in the Kiwi dollar is really due to the falling Australian dollar - which itself is a reflection of the weaker Chinese economy
15th Oct 18, 8:13am
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Roger J Kerr says the big sell-off that has been seen in the Kiwi dollar is really due to the falling Australian dollar - which itself is a reflection of the weaker Chinese economy
Roger J Kerr says the next significant event for the Kiwi dollar on its own account will be the CPI data for the September quarter released on Tuesday 16 October
8th Oct 18, 9:29am
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Roger J Kerr says the next significant event for the Kiwi dollar on its own account will be the CPI data for the September quarter released on Tuesday 16 October
Roger J Kerr says the rising global oil prices we are seeing have direct implications for currency values
1st Oct 18, 8:29am
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Roger J Kerr says the rising global oil prices we are seeing have direct implications for currency values
Roger J Kerr says the outstanding GDP figures will prompt speculators to reverse their positions in the Kiwi dollar; RBNZ may be forced to change its tune on the economy and inflation
24th Sep 18, 8:34am
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Roger J Kerr says the outstanding GDP figures will prompt speculators to reverse their positions in the Kiwi dollar; RBNZ may be forced to change its tune on the economy and inflation
Roger J Kerr says exporters who budgeted US dollar export receipts at US70c and above now have the opportunity to significantly reduce future currency risk and lock-in company profitability over several years
17th Sep 18, 8:40am
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Roger J Kerr says exporters who budgeted US dollar export receipts at US70c and above now have the opportunity to significantly reduce future currency risk and lock-in company profitability over several years
Roger J Kerr says classifying the NZ and Aussie economies/currencies in the same mould as Turkey and Argentina would be a plainly ridiculous perspective that will not be sustainable
10th Sep 18, 8:43am
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Roger J Kerr says classifying the NZ and Aussie economies/currencies in the same mould as Turkey and Argentina would be a plainly ridiculous perspective that will not be sustainable
Roger J Kerr says unless you firmly believe that the US dollar is about to take off and dairy prices are about to collapse, it is hard to fathom how forecasts of the NZ dollar falling to US60c will be proven to be accurate
3rd Sep 18, 8:39am
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Roger J Kerr says unless you firmly believe that the US dollar is about to take off and dairy prices are about to collapse, it is hard to fathom how forecasts of the NZ dollar falling to US60c will be proven to be accurate
Roger J Kerr says it would be dangerous for exporters and importers to automatically assume the Kiwi dollar will continue to decline against the American currency
27th Aug 18, 8:31am
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Roger J Kerr says it would be dangerous for exporters and importers to automatically assume the Kiwi dollar will continue to decline against the American currency
Roger J Kerr says the timing of the legislation banning some foreigners from buying real estate here confirms the negative sentiment towards the New Zealand currency
20th Aug 18, 9:03am
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Roger J Kerr says the timing of the legislation banning some foreigners from buying real estate here confirms the negative sentiment towards the New Zealand currency
Roger J Kerr dissects a week in which the Kiwi currency was staggered by blows firstly from the RBNZ and then worries about the escalating crisis in Turkey; he believes the currency is not down for the count however
13th Aug 18, 8:34am
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Roger J Kerr dissects a week in which the Kiwi currency was staggered by blows firstly from the RBNZ and then worries about the escalating crisis in Turkey; he believes the currency is not down for the count however
Roger J Kerr says foreign investors are not going to be positive on the NZ economy and currency if they see that the locals are so downbeat on their own prospects
6th Aug 18, 9:01am
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Roger J Kerr says foreign investors are not going to be positive on the NZ economy and currency if they see that the locals are so downbeat on their own prospects
Roger J Kerr outlines why oil and milk prices are important drivers of the New Zealand dollar's value
30th Jul 18, 9:21am
Roger J Kerr outlines why oil and milk prices are important drivers of the New Zealand dollar's value
Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar is unlikely to fall in any Trump-led currency war backwash
23rd Jul 18, 8:54am
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Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar is unlikely to fall in any Trump-led currency war backwash
Roger J Kerr says a continuation down the isolationist trade path that the US are now travelling will prove to be the tragedy for the US economy and the legacy of the Trump regime
16th Jul 18, 8:32am
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Roger J Kerr says a continuation down the isolationist trade path that the US are now travelling will prove to be the tragedy for the US economy and the legacy of the Trump regime
Roger J Kerr says a return of the NZD/USD exchange rate to 0.7000 over coming weeks should be expected as speculative trading positions are all unwound in a one-way Kiwi dollar market
9th Jul 18, 8:46am
Roger J Kerr says a return of the NZD/USD exchange rate to 0.7000 over coming weeks should be expected as speculative trading positions are all unwound in a one-way Kiwi dollar market
Roger J Kerr says new RBNZ Governor, Adrian Orr may be at risk of playing the 'dovish' outlook-on-inflation-card a little too much, too soon in the current environment
2nd Jul 18, 8:24am
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Roger J Kerr says new RBNZ Governor, Adrian Orr may be at risk of playing the 'dovish' outlook-on-inflation-card a little too much, too soon in the current environment
Roger J Kerr analyses the likely range of trading for the Kiwi dollar in coming months and the reasons why
7th May 18, 9:02am
Roger J Kerr analyses the likely range of trading for the Kiwi dollar in coming months and the reasons why