covid-19
'The gloves are off': Inland Revenue gets back to business chasing tax debts
Roger J Kerr says monetary tightening to bring down inflation always seems to require a higher exchange rate
6th Feb 23, 9:00am
20
Roger J Kerr says monetary tightening to bring down inflation always seems to require a higher exchange rate
[updated]
Statistics New Zealand says the unemployment rate has risen to 3.4% from 3.3%; it was widely expected to fall; private sector hourly wage growth has slowed to 8.1% from 8.6% when it was expected to rise: BNZ economists change OCR call
1st Feb 23, 11:01am
130
Statistics New Zealand says the unemployment rate has risen to 3.4% from 3.3%; it was widely expected to fall; private sector hourly wage growth has slowed to 8.1% from 8.6% when it was expected to rise: BNZ economists change OCR call
Roger J Kerr suggests four actions that could address our current inflation problem. He also is sanguine about how the US debt ceiling problem resolution. And he is highly critical of how the RBA is foreseeing its developing issues
30th Jan 23, 8:30am
8
Roger J Kerr suggests four actions that could address our current inflation problem. He also is sanguine about how the US debt ceiling problem resolution. And he is highly critical of how the RBA is foreseeing its developing issues
The Reserve Bank will be looking for any signs that the jobs market is cooling when new figures are released in the coming week. David Hargreaves says it might not get these signs. Not yet, anyway
29th Jan 23, 6:00am
48
The Reserve Bank will be looking for any signs that the jobs market is cooling when new figures are released in the coming week. David Hargreaves says it might not get these signs. Not yet, anyway
Two major bank economists have lowered their milk price forecasts as dairy prices hover near two-year lows
24th Jan 23, 2:03pm
17
Two major bank economists have lowered their milk price forecasts as dairy prices hover near two-year lows
David Hargreaves tries to make sense of a very quick beginning to the year, which means we are unlikely to be able to draw breath until the October election is over. Expect drama
24th Jan 23, 11:05am
51
David Hargreaves tries to make sense of a very quick beginning to the year, which means we are unlikely to be able to draw breath until the October election is over. Expect drama
Roger J Kerr says the sentiment towards, and direction of, the US dollar currency value remains firmly negative
23rd Jan 23, 8:39am
1
Roger J Kerr says the sentiment towards, and direction of, the US dollar currency value remains firmly negative
David Skilling says even as transitory inflation fades, pressures due to global strategic competition are building – shaping inflation, rates, & monetary policy
21st Jan 23, 10:09am
28
David Skilling says even as transitory inflation fades, pressures due to global strategic competition are building – shaping inflation, rates, & monetary policy
Statistics New Zealand says falling property values lopped $91.1 billion off the worth of Kiwis in the first nine months of 2022, while falling share and investment values took $78.6 billion away
19th Jan 23, 11:17am
19
Statistics New Zealand says falling property values lopped $91.1 billion off the worth of Kiwis in the first nine months of 2022, while falling share and investment values took $78.6 billion away
David Hargreaves has a quick check on the temperature of the economy with a recap of where we left off in 2022 as we now look towards what appears likely to be a very fast start to things financial in 2023
16th Jan 23, 11:43am
60
David Hargreaves has a quick check on the temperature of the economy with a recap of where we left off in 2022 as we now look towards what appears likely to be a very fast start to things financial in 2023
Roger J Kerr says 'choppy and sideways' looks like the order of the day for the markets this year
16th Jan 23, 8:08am
2
Roger J Kerr says 'choppy and sideways' looks like the order of the day for the markets this year
David Skilling introduces his new bi-weekly Global Briefing Notes. In this first edition he is watching China, commodities, global trade flows, multipolarity, and Japan
15th Jan 23, 6:00am
18
David Skilling introduces his new bi-weekly Global Briefing Notes. In this first edition he is watching China, commodities, global trade flows, multipolarity, and Japan
Roger J Kerr returns for 2023 with his views on currency movements and strategies. He notes it is rare or the NZD/USD rate to deviate from general USD movements. He also observes the NZD/AUD seems oversold
9th Jan 23, 8:50am
4
Roger J Kerr returns for 2023 with his views on currency movements and strategies. He notes it is rare or the NZD/USD rate to deviate from general USD movements. He also observes the NZD/AUD seems oversold
The stresses of the past few years have highlighted the strengths & weaknesses of countries in a period of regime change, says David Skilling
8th Jan 23, 7:40am
30
The stresses of the past few years have highlighted the strengths & weaknesses of countries in a period of regime change, says David Skilling
The 2022 Interesties featuring inflation, Adrian Orr, Philip Lowe, Jacinda Ardern, Christopher Luxon, Liz Truss & Kwasi Kwarteng, FTX & Sam Bankman-Fried, the current account deficit, the NZ Herald, borrowers & savers and more
20th Dec 22, 9:55am
66
The 2022 Interesties featuring inflation, Adrian Orr, Philip Lowe, Jacinda Ardern, Christopher Luxon, Liz Truss & Kwasi Kwarteng, FTX & Sam Bankman-Fried, the current account deficit, the NZ Herald, borrowers & savers and more
Roger J Kerr wraps up the currency year from his perspective, and hands out his 'awards' with his politics on his sleeve
19th Dec 22, 8:00am
5
Roger J Kerr wraps up the currency year from his perspective, and hands out his 'awards' with his politics on his sleeve
Forecasts for 2022, from inflation to Ukraine, were generally off the mark. So in a world of deep uncertainty, what might surprise in 2023?
17th Dec 22, 10:15am
87
Forecasts for 2022, from inflation to Ukraine, were generally off the mark. So in a world of deep uncertainty, what might surprise in 2023?
Harbour Asset Management's Hamish Pepper & Chris Di Leva look at the Top 10 risks and opportunities for 2023
16th Dec 22, 9:27am
24
Harbour Asset Management's Hamish Pepper & Chris Di Leva look at the Top 10 risks and opportunities for 2023
Surging demand in the service industries after the re-opening of the borders has seen the economy grow at a much faster pace than expected in the September quarter; the Reserve Bank won't be pleased - 75 point rise to OCR in February appears certain
15th Dec 22, 11:01am
143
Surging demand in the service industries after the re-opening of the borders has seen the economy grow at a much faster pace than expected in the September quarter; the Reserve Bank won't be pleased - 75 point rise to OCR in February appears certain
Reserve Bank Governor says our banks need to take a long term view on their customer base 'because it is a lifetime of earnings they get off each customer'
14th Dec 22, 2:33pm
46
Reserve Bank Governor says our banks need to take a long term view on their customer base 'because it is a lifetime of earnings they get off each customer'
[updated]
Despite seasonal falls in fruit and vegetable prices, the annual rate of food price inflation increased to 10.7% in November; it's a crisis at the checkout, says National Party
13th Dec 22, 11:08am
163
Despite seasonal falls in fruit and vegetable prices, the annual rate of food price inflation increased to 10.7% in November; it's a crisis at the checkout, says National Party
Latest 'consensus' economists' forecasts released by the NZIER show a substantial deterioration in the past three months of how the economists view prospects - particularly in three years' time
12th Dec 22, 1:26pm
43
Latest 'consensus' economists' forecasts released by the NZIER show a substantial deterioration in the past three months of how the economists view prospects - particularly in three years' time
Figures to be released in the coming week will show the economy has continued to grow quite strongly. The Reserve Bank's attempts to 'engineer' a recession are still very much in the future yet
12th Dec 22, 9:00am
54
Figures to be released in the coming week will show the economy has continued to grow quite strongly. The Reserve Bank's attempts to 'engineer' a recession are still very much in the future yet
Roger J Kerr sees coming flows of capital back to Europe and this will force the value of the US dollar lower
12th Dec 22, 8:05am
Roger J Kerr sees coming flows of capital back to Europe and this will force the value of the US dollar lower