covid-19
Westpac economists say many things need to change if the tourism sector is to thrive in the post Covid era
21st Jul 23, 5:00am
14
Westpac economists say many things need to change if the tourism sector is to thrive in the post Covid era
Roger J Kerr says his expectation that US inflation would decrease quickly has transpired into reality, with the inevitable USD sell-off allowing the NZD/USD exchange rate to make the gains he has been expecting and forecasting
17th Jul 23, 9:00am
6
Roger J Kerr says his expectation that US inflation would decrease quickly has transpired into reality, with the inevitable USD sell-off allowing the NZD/USD exchange rate to make the gains he has been expecting and forecasting
New Kiwibank spending data shows that despite the cost of living squeeze we are still spending as we need to - but discretion is being applied
11th Jul 23, 11:22am
25
New Kiwibank spending data shows that despite the cost of living squeeze we are still spending as we need to - but discretion is being applied
Roger J Kerr says the belated softening in US employment may be the catalyst that propels the NZD/USD exchange rate out of the top-end of its range at 0.6350
10th Jul 23, 9:24am
1
Roger J Kerr says the belated softening in US employment may be the catalyst that propels the NZD/USD exchange rate out of the top-end of its range at 0.6350
Roger J Kerr continues to hold the view that the dominant US influence over the NZD/USD exchange rate will push the Kiwi dollar into to the high-US60c region over coming months
3rd Jul 23, 8:49am
1
Roger J Kerr continues to hold the view that the dominant US influence over the NZD/USD exchange rate will push the Kiwi dollar into to the high-US60c region over coming months
Roger J Kerr says given the current evenness in the political opinion polls it is unlikely currency market participants will be placing bets either way on the Kiwi dollar over the next few months in the lead-up to the election
26th Jun 23, 9:14am
1
Roger J Kerr says given the current evenness in the political opinion polls it is unlikely currency market participants will be placing bets either way on the Kiwi dollar over the next few months in the lead-up to the election
Eric Frykberg goes in search of solutions to superannuation affordability and looks at how past decisions have shaped today's super situation
23rd Jun 23, 10:21am
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Eric Frykberg goes in search of solutions to superannuation affordability and looks at how past decisions have shaped today's super situation
Roger J Kerr says price action in global currency markets since the US Federal Reserve’s 'hawkish pause' on interest rates has been telling and instructive as to future direction
19th Jun 23, 8:40am
1
Roger J Kerr says price action in global currency markets since the US Federal Reserve’s 'hawkish pause' on interest rates has been telling and instructive as to future direction
Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar's performance has been marginally better than many have expected, based on the impending economic recession in New Zealand, coupled with an external Current Account deficit blow-out
12th Jun 23, 8:38am
3
Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar's performance has been marginally better than many have expected, based on the impending economic recession in New Zealand, coupled with an external Current Account deficit blow-out
Roger J Kerr says US interest rates are set to reverse and turn lower again while Aussie interest rates will keep pushing higher. H e says the NZD/USD will closely track the AUD moves
5th Jun 23, 9:10am
1
Roger J Kerr says US interest rates are set to reverse and turn lower again while Aussie interest rates will keep pushing higher. H e says the NZD/USD will closely track the AUD moves
The Reserve Bank may have just ensured it won't become the meat in the political sandwich during the forthcoming election campaign
31st May 23, 7:52am
49
The Reserve Bank may have just ensured it won't become the meat in the political sandwich during the forthcoming election campaign
ASB economists rue the whiplash derived from last week's big 'dovish' shift by the Reserve Bank, while Westpac economists still see a further Official Cash Rate hike in August and ANZ economists expect one in November
29th May 23, 1:55pm
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ASB economists rue the whiplash derived from last week's big 'dovish' shift by the Reserve Bank, while Westpac economists still see a further Official Cash Rate hike in August and ANZ economists expect one in November
After another surprise from Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr, Roger J Kerr asks: Where to from here?
29th May 23, 8:12am
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After another surprise from Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr, Roger J Kerr asks: Where to from here?
[updated]
Reserve Bank raises interest rates as expected but throws in a major surprise by indicating this will be the last rise
24th May 23, 2:11pm
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Reserve Bank raises interest rates as expected but throws in a major surprise by indicating this will be the last rise
COVID-19’s total cost to the economy in US will reach US$14 trillion by end of 2023 – new research
22nd May 23, 3:54pm
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COVID-19’s total cost to the economy in US will reach US$14 trillion by end of 2023 – new research
Roger J Kerr says the recent rises in the US interest rates and US currency are unlikely to be sustained
22nd May 23, 8:58am
2
Roger J Kerr says the recent rises in the US interest rates and US currency are unlikely to be sustained
BNZ economists say the Reserve Bank's next move is likely to be heavily influenced by its assumptions of the supply and demand impacts of a net migration inflow that is 'much stronger than anyone believed'
17th May 23, 12:05pm
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BNZ economists say the Reserve Bank's next move is likely to be heavily influenced by its assumptions of the supply and demand impacts of a net migration inflow that is 'much stronger than anyone believed'
Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar's latest set-back appears very temporary
Gareth Vaughan argues borrowers who bought their first home in 2020-21 face being let down by the system
13th May 23, 10:01am
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Gareth Vaughan argues borrowers who bought their first home in 2020-21 face being let down by the system
Roger J Kerr says the only way we will attract in any foreign investment in to fund the current account deficit is to hold our interest rates substantially higher than US, European and Asian interest rates
8th May 23, 8:36am
5
Roger J Kerr says the only way we will attract in any foreign investment in to fund the current account deficit is to hold our interest rates substantially higher than US, European and Asian interest rates
Ex-Bank of England Deputy Governor Paul Tucker on how quantitative easing has exposed government finances to rising interest rates
7th May 23, 4:20pm
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Ex-Bank of England Deputy Governor Paul Tucker on how quantitative easing has exposed government finances to rising interest rates
BNZ economists say the migration surge is 'great news for moderating wage inflation' but raises questions of how strong population-led growth may become and how this may delay the Reserve Bank easing monetary conditions
3rd May 23, 2:32pm
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BNZ economists say the migration surge is 'great news for moderating wage inflation' but raises questions of how strong population-led growth may become and how this may delay the Reserve Bank easing monetary conditions
Statistics New Zealand says the unemployment rate remained the same in the March quarter, while there were 22,000 jobs added, the labour force participation rate hit a new high and private sector ordinary hourly wage growth rose to 8.2%
3rd May 23, 11:04am
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Statistics New Zealand says the unemployment rate remained the same in the March quarter, while there were 22,000 jobs added, the labour force participation rate hit a new high and private sector ordinary hourly wage growth rose to 8.2%
Labour market figures to be released this week will likely show unemployment levels largely unchanged, but economists and the Reserve Bank are still expecting 'slack' to start emerging in the labour force as the year goes on
1st May 23, 2:31pm
26
Labour market figures to be released this week will likely show unemployment levels largely unchanged, but economists and the Reserve Bank are still expecting 'slack' to start emerging in the labour force as the year goes on
Roger J Kerr says the short-term actions of central banks, coupled with long-term 'de-dollarisation' are pointing towards continued depreciation of the US dollar
1st May 23, 8:01am
Roger J Kerr says the short-term actions of central banks, coupled with long-term 'de-dollarisation' are pointing towards continued depreciation of the US dollar