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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 4 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr says the US dollar has seemingly broken out of its shackles of recent weeks
14th Jun 21, 8:19am
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Roger J Kerr says the US dollar has seemingly broken out of its shackles of recent weeks
The speed of the US economic recovery slower than what financial markets expected, says Roger J Kerr. But the expected strength will come, and force the Fed's hand to raise interest rates and therefore the USD
7th Jun 21, 7:43am
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The speed of the US economic recovery slower than what financial markets expected, says Roger J Kerr. But the expected strength will come, and force the Fed's hand to raise interest rates and therefore the USD
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank has made 'heroic' assumptions about the strength of NZ GDP growth and has failed to address potential risks
31st May 21, 8:28am
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Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank has made 'heroic' assumptions about the strength of NZ GDP growth and has failed to address potential risks
Roger J Kerr says the Labour Government are implementing their ideological programmes without any real understanding of the drivers at the coalface of the economy
24th May 21, 8:42am
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Roger J Kerr says the Labour Government are implementing their ideological programmes without any real understanding of the drivers at the coalface of the economy
Roger J Kerr, who says the Robertson 'wellbeing' Budget will be all about re-distributing the pie rather than growing the pie, offers his thoughts about what should be in the Budget
17th May 21, 8:57am
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Roger J Kerr, who says the Robertson 'wellbeing' Budget will be all about re-distributing the pie rather than growing the pie, offers his thoughts about what should be in the Budget
Roger J Kerr says there are a number of handbrakes adversely impacting on the NZ economy
10th May 21, 8:27am
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Roger J Kerr says there are a number of handbrakes adversely impacting on the NZ economy
Roger J Kerr says the March slide in the Kiwi dollar is shaping up to be repeated if the US dollar returns to its appreciating trend on the back of stronger US economic data and rising long-term US interest rates
3rd May 21, 8:20am
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Roger J Kerr says the March slide in the Kiwi dollar is shaping up to be repeated if the US dollar returns to its appreciating trend on the back of stronger US economic data and rising long-term US interest rates
Roger J Kerr points out where the US dollar is heading, seeing a stronger period ahead. He also sees cracks appearing in overstretched speculative markets
26th Apr 21, 8:36am
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Roger J Kerr points out where the US dollar is heading, seeing a stronger period ahead. He also sees cracks appearing in overstretched speculative markets
Roger J Kerr says the contrast between the current US and New Zealand economic trends is stark, worrying and negative for the NZ dollar
19th Apr 21, 8:45am
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Roger J Kerr says the contrast between the current US and New Zealand economic trends is stark, worrying and negative for the NZ dollar
Roger J Kerr says the Government will struggle to understand the current deteriorating economic situation, let alone devise new policies to improve the economy’s performance
12th Apr 21, 8:28am
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Roger J Kerr says the Government will struggle to understand the current deteriorating economic situation, let alone devise new policies to improve the economy’s performance
Roger J Kerr says as the halo has signs of starting to slip off PM Jacinda Ardern’s head, the Kiwi dollar is also now slipping in value in the unforgiving theatre of global currency markets
6th Apr 21, 7:59am
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Roger J Kerr says as the halo has signs of starting to slip off PM Jacinda Ardern’s head, the Kiwi dollar is also now slipping in value in the unforgiving theatre of global currency markets
Roger J Kerr says the Govt's 'draconian' tax change around housing has 'dramatically eliminated' the prospect of New Zealand's monetary stimulus being unwound ahead of Australia
29th Mar 21, 8:34am
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Roger J Kerr says the Govt's 'draconian' tax change around housing has 'dramatically eliminated' the prospect of New Zealand's monetary stimulus being unwound ahead of Australia
Roger J Kerr says the Government's purported 'shovel ready' projects to replace the loss of activity in the tourism sector have not happened and don't look like happening any time soon
22nd Mar 21, 8:44am
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Roger J Kerr says the Government's purported 'shovel ready' projects to replace the loss of activity in the tourism sector have not happened and don't look like happening any time soon
Roger J Kerr says the Aussie Government is decisive while our Government makes announcements about future announcements; an NZ win in the America's Cup won't necessarily spark a Kiwi dollar rally
15th Mar 21, 8:46am
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Roger J Kerr says the Aussie Government is decisive while our Government makes announcements about future announcements; an NZ win in the America's Cup won't necessarily spark a Kiwi dollar rally
Roger J Kerr says forex investors and traders are focused on the US dollar and not keen to buy the NZ currency at such high levels
8th Mar 21, 8:27am
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Roger J Kerr says forex investors and traders are focused on the US dollar and not keen to buy the NZ currency at such high levels
Roger J Kerr says the probability of a weaker NZ dollar has surged as US equity markets start to fall and long-term interest rates continue to climb
1st Mar 21, 8:14am
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Roger J Kerr says the probability of a weaker NZ dollar has surged as US equity markets start to fall and long-term interest rates continue to climb
Roger J Kerr says a more 'dovish' than expected statement from our central bank later this week will drive the Kiwi dollar sharply lower
22nd Feb 21, 8:28am
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Roger J Kerr says a more 'dovish' than expected statement from our central bank later this week will drive the Kiwi dollar sharply lower
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s Monetary Policy Statement next stands out as a likely candidate to break the Kiwi dollar’s shackles
15th Feb 21, 7:58am
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s Monetary Policy Statement next stands out as a likely candidate to break the Kiwi dollar’s shackles
Roger J Kerr says those expecting the RBNZ to be more upbeat will be disappointed even though the string of good economic data extends. Those shorting the USD may be in for a nasty surprise
8th Feb 21, 11:02am
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Roger J Kerr says those expecting the RBNZ to be more upbeat will be disappointed even though the string of good economic data extends. Those shorting the USD may be in for a nasty surprise
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD dropping below 70 USc over the next six months after the US delivers much stronger data and vaccine beneits start to flow. He also sees the NZD falling as the AUD takes an iron ore price hit
1st Feb 21, 8:34am
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Roger J Kerr sees the NZD dropping below 70 USc over the next six months after the US delivers much stronger data and vaccine beneits start to flow. He also sees the NZD falling as the AUD takes an iron ore price hit
Roger J Kerr says RBNZ economic forecasting gurus need to spend more time talking to businesses at the coal-front of the economy and less time on the theory of calibrating their econometric models to what is happening in the rest of the world
25th Jan 21, 8:12am
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Roger J Kerr says RBNZ economic forecasting gurus need to spend more time talking to businesses at the coal-front of the economy and less time on the theory of calibrating their econometric models to what is happening in the rest of the world
Roger J Kerr says market conditions and incentives have shifted in favour of the American currency
18th Jan 21, 8:20am
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Roger J Kerr says market conditions and incentives have shifted in favour of the American currency
Roger J Kerr says positives fuelling equity markets ruled out any downward NZD correction so far, other financial market signals are mixed, and the local economic outlook is dimming
11th Jan 21, 8:21am
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Roger J Kerr says positives fuelling equity markets ruled out any downward NZD correction so far, other financial market signals are mixed, and the local economic outlook is dimming
Roger J Kerr looks at some of the candidates that might cause a downward correction for the NZ dollar
14th Dec 20, 8:08am
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Roger J Kerr looks at some of the candidates that might cause a downward correction for the NZ dollar
Long time Kiwi dollar bull Roger J Kerr concludes that our currency has now overcooked itself at current levels
7th Dec 20, 8:30am
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Long time Kiwi dollar bull Roger J Kerr concludes that our currency has now overcooked itself at current levels