Roger J Kerr

Roger J Kerr says the probability of the 'doomsday' scenario for the New Zealand economy in 2022 has arguably gone up a notch

Roger J Kerr says the probability of the 'doomsday' scenario for the New Zealand economy in 2022 has arguably gone up a notch

Roger J Kerr: 'The implications for the economy and personal wellbeing are becoming increasingly apparent. We are still up sh*t creek without a paddle!'

Roger J Kerr: 'The implications for the economy and personal wellbeing are becoming increasingly apparent. We are still up sh*t creek without a paddle!'

Roger J Kerr sees the future direction of the NZ dollar value as governed by varying doses of good luck and good management

Roger J Kerr sees the future direction of the NZ dollar value as governed by varying doses of good luck and good management

Roger J Kerr says the Government’s previous “smug complacency” has found us out with our pants down

Roger J Kerr says the Government’s previous “smug complacency” has found us out with our pants down

Roger J Kerr says the currency markets are signalling that the performance of the NZ economy over the next 12 months is likely to be inferior to peers and competitors

Roger J Kerr says the currency markets are signalling that the performance of the NZ economy over the next 12 months is likely to be inferior to peers and competitors

Roger J Kerr sees a day of reckoning and crunch-time ahead for the Kiwi dollar

Roger J Kerr sees a day of reckoning and crunch-time ahead for the Kiwi dollar

Roger J Kerr says the important thing from the RBNZ's October 6 rates review will be how the RBNZ sees the NZ economy extracting itself from the massive fiscal and monetary stimulus it has been supported by over the last 18 months

Roger J Kerr says the important thing from the RBNZ's October 6 rates review will be how the RBNZ sees the NZ economy extracting itself from the massive fiscal and monetary stimulus it has been supported by over the last 18 months

Roger J Kerr says the foreign exchange markets seem to be taking the view that the historical GDP growth numbers are questionable and the risks ahead for the NZ economy outweigh any positive past performance

Roger J Kerr says the foreign exchange markets seem to be taking the view that the historical GDP growth numbers are questionable and the risks ahead for the NZ economy outweigh any positive past performance

Roger J Kerr tackles the nitty gritty on our current handling of the Covid pandemic, the direction of the economy and what it all means for the future value of the NZ dollar

Roger J Kerr tackles the nitty gritty on our current handling of the Covid pandemic, the direction of the economy and what it all means for the future value of the NZ dollar

Roger J Kerr says our currency seems to have 'zoomed' up too far and too fast, so, a fall seems likely in coming days

Roger J Kerr says our currency seems to have 'zoomed' up too far and too fast, so, a fall seems likely in coming days

Roger J Kerr suggests John Key and Bill English would have done a better job of managing the current Covid crisis

Roger J Kerr suggests John Key and Bill English would have done a better job of managing the current Covid crisis

Roger J Kerr sees a likely 'sideways shuffle' in the value of the Kiwi dollar and then rising back above US70c in the medium to longer term

Roger J Kerr sees a likely 'sideways shuffle' in the value of the Kiwi dollar and then rising back above US70c in the medium to longer term

Roger J Kerr says the 'reconnecting to the world' plan announced last week had no targets, no milestones and no objectives that business folk could plan around themselves

Roger J Kerr says the 'reconnecting to the world' plan announced last week had no targets, no milestones and no objectives that business folk could plan around themselves

Roger J Kerr says the stronger US dollar he has consistently expected is now back on track

Roger J Kerr says the stronger US dollar he has consistently expected is now back on track

Roger J Kerr says 'there is no question' global FX markets are differentiating between economies that are highly Covid-vaccinated and those that are not

Roger J Kerr says 'there is no question' global FX markets are differentiating between economies that are highly Covid-vaccinated and those that are not

Roger J Kerr says the rapid spread of the delta strain has suddenly overshadowed any expectations that the RBNZ will act to tighten monetary policy and increase the OCR at their upcoming meeting on 18 August

Roger J Kerr says the rapid spread of the delta strain has suddenly overshadowed any expectations that the RBNZ will act to tighten monetary policy and increase the OCR at their upcoming meeting on 18 August

Roger J Kerr doesn't see an August OCR hike, seeing stresses building in our regional economies with no overheating, and speculators ready to bet that the NZD is too high especially against the AUD

Roger J Kerr doesn't see an August OCR hike, seeing stresses building in our regional economies with no overheating, and speculators ready to bet that the NZD is too high especially against the AUD

Roger J Kerr says New Zealand will not achieve the 4% to 5% growth the RBNZ and all the banks are forecasting; says it would be a mistake of RBNZ to 'bow' to NZ economists' thinking

Roger J Kerr says New Zealand will not achieve the 4% to 5% growth the RBNZ and all the banks are forecasting; says it would be a mistake of RBNZ to 'bow' to NZ economists' thinking

Roger J Kerr says there are just too many constraints on the NZ economy at this time to produce the higher GDP growth trajectory this year that the RBNZ and the banks are forecasting

Roger J Kerr says there are just too many constraints on the NZ economy at this time to produce the higher GDP growth trajectory this year that the RBNZ and the banks are forecasting

Roger J Kerr says our slow vaccination rollout means we are going to be a long way behind the rest of the world in becoming fully functional again with international business and tourism travel and our economy will lag

Roger J Kerr says our slow vaccination rollout means we are going to be a long way behind the rest of the world in becoming fully functional again with international business and tourism travel and our economy will lag

Roger J Kerr says the currency market landscape has dramatically changed in the past week

Roger J Kerr says the currency market landscape has dramatically changed in the past week

Roger J Kerr says the US dollar has seemingly broken out of its shackles of recent weeks

Roger J Kerr says the US dollar has seemingly broken out of its shackles of recent weeks

The speed of the US economic recovery slower than what financial markets expected, says Roger J Kerr. But the expected strength will come, and force the Fed's hand to raise interest rates and therefore the USD

The speed of the US economic recovery slower than what financial markets expected, says Roger J Kerr. But the expected strength will come, and force the Fed's hand to raise interest rates and therefore the USD

Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank has made 'heroic' assumptions about the strength of NZ GDP growth and has failed to address potential risks

Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank has made 'heroic' assumptions about the strength of NZ GDP growth and has failed to address potential risks

Roger J Kerr says the Labour Government are implementing their ideological programmes without any real understanding of the drivers at the coalface of the economy

Roger J Kerr says the Labour Government are implementing their ideological programmes without any real understanding of the drivers at the coalface of the economy