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Roger J Kerr says the recent signs are encouraging for the Kiwi dollar to recover to back above 0.6000 against the USD as fast as it dived from 0.6000 to 0.5550 in mid to late September
31st Oct 22, 8:20am
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Roger J Kerr says the recent signs are encouraging for the Kiwi dollar to recover to back above 0.6000 against the USD as fast as it dived from 0.6000 to 0.5550 in mid to late September
Roger J Kerr sees “extreme and excessive” geopolitical, economic, and financial/investment market situations globally that make decision-making difficult for businesses, investors, and governments alike
24th Oct 22, 8:30am
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Roger J Kerr sees “extreme and excessive” geopolitical, economic, and financial/investment market situations globally that make decision-making difficult for businesses, investors, and governments alike
Roger J Kerr says it would be a mistake for the Fed to maintain tight monetary policy just because core inflation is not reducing as fast as they would like
17th Oct 22, 8:05am
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Roger J Kerr says it would be a mistake for the Fed to maintain tight monetary policy just because core inflation is not reducing as fast as they would like
Roger J Kerr says a major financial collapse due to someone’s failure to meet cash margin calls on extreme leveraged positions in equities or bonds is the sort of risk event just waiting to happen
10th Oct 22, 8:55am
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Roger J Kerr says a major financial collapse due to someone’s failure to meet cash margin calls on extreme leveraged positions in equities or bonds is the sort of risk event just waiting to happen
Roger J Kerr says Kiwi dollar selling is typically very short-term and speculative in nature, often triggered by global events and economic shocks
3rd Oct 22, 8:35am
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Roger J Kerr says Kiwi dollar selling is typically very short-term and speculative in nature, often triggered by global events and economic shocks
Roger J Kerr explains the changed Fed stance, why the Japanese intervened in currency markets, why NZ monetary policy needs to be tighter, and why the NZD has fallen more than some peers
26th Sep 22, 9:22am
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Roger J Kerr explains the changed Fed stance, why the Japanese intervened in currency markets, why NZ monetary policy needs to be tighter, and why the NZD has fallen more than some peers
Roger J Kerr points to evidence that rising interest rates have already 'smashed' the US housing market and inflation will soon follow sharply lower
19th Sep 22, 8:39am
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Roger J Kerr points to evidence that rising interest rates have already 'smashed' the US housing market and inflation will soon follow sharply lower
Roger J Kerr questions whether the historical paradigm that the USD currency value has a reliable inverse price relationship with crude oil prices is broken
12th Sep 22, 8:41am
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Roger J Kerr questions whether the historical paradigm that the USD currency value has a reliable inverse price relationship with crude oil prices is broken
Roger J Kerr says until there is a change in direction to lower US bond yields and higher US equity markets, the NZD/USD exchange rate will struggle to make meaningful gains
5th Sep 22, 8:40am
Roger J Kerr says until there is a change in direction to lower US bond yields and higher US equity markets, the NZD/USD exchange rate will struggle to make meaningful gains
Roger J Kerr says given the much more stable food and energy prices, the US Fed’s inflation problem is already solving itself
29th Aug 22, 8:26am
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Roger J Kerr says given the much more stable food and energy prices, the US Fed’s inflation problem is already solving itself
Roger J Kerr says the markets are potentially under-estimating how quickly inflation could reduce over the second half of the year and, in turn, prompt central banks to ease their foot off the tight monetary policy brake a lot sooner than most imagined
8th Aug 22, 8:25am
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Roger J Kerr says the markets are potentially under-estimating how quickly inflation could reduce over the second half of the year and, in turn, prompt central banks to ease their foot off the tight monetary policy brake a lot sooner than most imagined
Roger J Kerr says instead of harking for an independent enquiry into past RBNZ past decisions, our energy and intellectual horsepower is better off addressing changes we could make that result in us being less vulnerable to boom/bust cycles
1st Aug 22, 8:29am
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Roger J Kerr says instead of harking for an independent enquiry into past RBNZ past decisions, our energy and intellectual horsepower is better off addressing changes we could make that result in us being less vulnerable to boom/bust cycles
Roger J Kerr says the reversal in US bond yields is telling us that the sentiment and expectations from both bond investors and borrowers is that they see lower inflation and lower interest rates in the future
25th Jul 22, 8:10am
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Roger J Kerr says the reversal in US bond yields is telling us that the sentiment and expectations from both bond investors and borrowers is that they see lower inflation and lower interest rates in the future
Roger J Kerr says US inflation has not quite peaked yet, but the peak is not far away
18th Jul 22, 8:17am
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Roger J Kerr says US inflation has not quite peaked yet, but the peak is not far away
Roger J Kerr asks: Why would the NZ dollar be on the same footing as the Japanese Yen?
11th Jul 22, 8:15am
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Roger J Kerr asks: Why would the NZ dollar be on the same footing as the Japanese Yen?
Roger J Kerr says just why New Zealand would be taking up such an aggressive foreign policy stance against our largest export/import trading partner, China, beggars belief
4th Jul 22, 8:29am
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Roger J Kerr says just why New Zealand would be taking up such an aggressive foreign policy stance against our largest export/import trading partner, China, beggars belief
Roger J Kerr says some cracks are starting to appear in the 'mighty US dollar' story
27th Jun 22, 8:31am
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Roger J Kerr says some cracks are starting to appear in the 'mighty US dollar' story
Roger J Kerr says the Fed appear to be unbelievably slow in reading the lead indicators for the US economy
20th Jun 22, 8:26am
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Roger J Kerr says the Fed appear to be unbelievably slow in reading the lead indicators for the US economy
Roger J Kerr says the expected 'V' shaped recovery in the NZD/USD rate to 0.6800 has had a set-back with this latest US inflation result
13th Jun 22, 8:27am
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Roger J Kerr says the expected 'V' shaped recovery in the NZD/USD rate to 0.6800 has had a set-back with this latest US inflation result
Roger J Kerr sees the NZ dollar sustaining its upward momentum. He also wants to see the RBNZ's remit extended to encourage proactivity in tackling the non-tradable inflation drivers
6th Jun 22, 9:15am
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Roger J Kerr sees the NZ dollar sustaining its upward momentum. He also wants to see the RBNZ's remit extended to encourage proactivity in tackling the non-tradable inflation drivers
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ is demanding respect and credibility - but it needs to earn it
30th May 22, 8:37am
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Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ is demanding respect and credibility - but it needs to earn it
Roger J Kerr believes the recent bout of strength in the US dollar has now run its course
23rd May 22, 8:34am
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Roger J Kerr believes the recent bout of strength in the US dollar has now run its course
Roger J Kerr says there is clear evidence the US inflation rate will start to move down from the peak recorded in the year to March
16th May 22, 8:22am
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Roger J Kerr says there is clear evidence the US inflation rate will start to move down from the peak recorded in the year to March
We do not go to war for free; we need to factor its economic costs and its consequences into public discussions says Brian Easton
26th Apr 22, 10:31am
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We do not go to war for free; we need to factor its economic costs and its consequences into public discussions says Brian Easton
Economist Brian Easton says Putin may have done irreparable damage to Russia’s place in the world
4th Apr 22, 9:36am
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Economist Brian Easton says Putin may have done irreparable damage to Russia’s place in the world