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Roger J Kerr

Roger J Kerr's picture
About: 

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for
11 years 5 months

Articles by Roger J Kerr

2nd Aug 21, 8:40am
3
Roger J Kerr says 'there is no question' global FX markets are differentiating between economies that are highly Covid-vaccinated and those that are not
Roger J Kerr says 'there is no question' global FX markets are differentiating between economies that are highly Covid-vaccinated and those that are not
2nd Aug 21, 8:40am
26th Jul 21, 8:53am
55
Roger J Kerr says the rapid spread of the delta strain has suddenly overshadowed any expectations that the RBNZ will act to tighten monetary policy and increase the OCR at their upcoming meeting on 18 August
Roger J Kerr says the rapid spread of the delta strain has suddenly overshadowed any expectations that the RBNZ will act to tighten monetary policy and increase the OCR at their upcoming meeting on 18 August
26th Jul 21, 8:53am
19th Jul 21, 8:11am
9
Roger J Kerr doesn't see an August OCR hike, seeing stresses building in our regional economies with no overheating, and speculators ready to bet that the NZD is too high especially against the AUD
Roger J Kerr doesn't see an August OCR hike, seeing stresses building in our regional economies with no overheating, and speculators ready to bet that the NZD is too high especially against the AUD
19th Jul 21, 8:11am
12th Jul 21, 8:30am
5
Roger J Kerr says New Zealand will not achieve the 4% to 5% growth the RBNZ and all the banks are forecasting; says it would be a mistake of RBNZ to 'bow' to NZ economists' thinking
Roger J Kerr says New Zealand will not achieve the 4% to 5% growth the RBNZ and all the banks are forecasting; says it would be a mistake of RBNZ to 'bow' to NZ economists' thinking
12th Jul 21, 8:30am
5th Jul 21, 8:50am
24
Roger J Kerr says there are just too many constraints on the NZ economy at this time to produce the higher GDP growth trajectory this year that the RBNZ and the banks are forecasting
Roger J Kerr says there are just too many constraints on the NZ economy at this time to produce the higher GDP growth trajectory this year that the RBNZ and the banks are forecasting
5th Jul 21, 8:50am
28th Jun 21, 8:38am
3
Roger J Kerr says our slow vaccination rollout means we are going to be a long way behind the rest of the world in becoming fully functional again with international business and tourism travel and our economy will lag
Roger J Kerr says our slow vaccination rollout means we are going to be a long way behind the rest of the world in becoming fully functional again with international business and tourism travel and our economy will lag
28th Jun 21, 8:38am
21st Jun 21, 8:46am
10
Roger J Kerr says the currency market landscape has dramatically changed in the past week
Roger J Kerr says the currency market landscape has dramatically changed in the past week
21st Jun 21, 8:46am
14th Jun 21, 8:19am
3
Roger J Kerr says the US dollar has seemingly broken out of its shackles of recent weeks
Roger J Kerr says the US dollar has seemingly broken out of its shackles of recent weeks
14th Jun 21, 8:19am
7th Jun 21, 7:43am
5
The speed of the US economic recovery slower than what financial markets expected, says Roger J Kerr. But the expected strength will come, and force the Fed's hand to raise interest rates and therefore the USD
The speed of the US economic recovery slower than what financial markets expected, says Roger J Kerr. But the expected strength will come, and force the Fed's hand to raise interest rates and therefore the USD
7th Jun 21, 7:43am
31st May 21, 8:28am
5
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank has made 'heroic' assumptions about the strength of NZ GDP growth and has failed to address potential risks
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank has made 'heroic' assumptions about the strength of NZ GDP growth and has failed to address potential risks
31st May 21, 8:28am
24th May 21, 8:42am
26
Roger J Kerr says the Labour Government are implementing their ideological programmes without any real understanding of the drivers at the coalface of the economy
Roger J Kerr says the Labour Government are implementing their ideological programmes without any real understanding of the drivers at the coalface of the economy
24th May 21, 8:42am
17th May 21, 8:57am
18
Roger J Kerr, who says the Robertson 'wellbeing' Budget will be all about re-distributing the pie rather than growing the pie, offers his thoughts about what should be in the Budget
Roger J Kerr, who says the Robertson 'wellbeing' Budget will be all about re-distributing the pie rather than growing the pie, offers his thoughts about what should be in the Budget
17th May 21, 8:57am
10th May 21, 8:27am
17
Roger J Kerr says there are a number of handbrakes adversely impacting on the NZ economy
Roger J Kerr says there are a number of handbrakes adversely impacting on the NZ economy
10th May 21, 8:27am
3rd May 21, 8:20am
2
Roger J Kerr says the March slide in the Kiwi dollar is shaping up to be repeated if the US dollar returns to its appreciating trend on the back of stronger US economic data and rising long-term US interest rates
Roger J Kerr says the March slide in the Kiwi dollar is shaping up to be repeated if the US dollar returns to its appreciating trend on the back of stronger US economic data and rising long-term US interest rates
3rd May 21, 8:20am
26th Apr 21, 8:36am
19
Roger J Kerr points out where the US dollar is heading, seeing a stronger period ahead. He also sees cracks appearing in overstretched speculative markets
Roger J Kerr points out where the US dollar is heading, seeing a stronger period ahead. He also sees cracks appearing in overstretched speculative markets
26th Apr 21, 8:36am
19th Apr 21, 8:45am
11
Roger J Kerr says the contrast between the current US and New Zealand economic trends is stark, worrying and negative for the NZ dollar
Roger J Kerr says the contrast between the current US and New Zealand economic trends is stark, worrying and negative for the NZ dollar
19th Apr 21, 8:45am
12th Apr 21, 8:28am
46
Roger J Kerr says the Government will struggle to understand the current deteriorating economic situation, let alone devise new policies to improve the economy’s performance
Roger J Kerr says the Government will struggle to understand the current deteriorating economic situation, let alone devise new policies to improve the economy’s performance
12th Apr 21, 8:28am
6th Apr 21, 7:59am
18
Roger J Kerr says as the halo has signs of starting to slip off PM Jacinda Ardern’s head, the Kiwi dollar is also now slipping in value in the unforgiving theatre of global currency markets
Roger J Kerr says as the halo has signs of starting to slip off PM Jacinda Ardern’s head, the Kiwi dollar is also now slipping in value in the unforgiving theatre of global currency markets
6th Apr 21, 7:59am
29th Mar 21, 8:34am
4
Roger J Kerr says the Govt's 'draconian' tax change around housing has 'dramatically eliminated' the prospect of New Zealand's monetary stimulus being unwound ahead of Australia
Roger J Kerr says the Govt's 'draconian' tax change around housing has 'dramatically eliminated' the prospect of New Zealand's monetary stimulus being unwound ahead of Australia
29th Mar 21, 8:34am
22nd Mar 21, 8:44am
16
Roger J Kerr says the Government's purported 'shovel ready' projects to replace the loss of activity in the tourism sector have not happened and don't look like happening any time soon
Roger J Kerr says the Government's purported 'shovel ready' projects to replace the loss of activity in the tourism sector have not happened and don't look like happening any time soon
22nd Mar 21, 8:44am
15th Mar 21, 8:46am
10
Roger J Kerr says the Aussie Government is decisive while our Government makes announcements about future announcements; an NZ win in the America's Cup won't necessarily spark a Kiwi dollar rally
Roger J Kerr says the Aussie Government is decisive while our Government makes announcements about future announcements; an NZ win in the America's Cup won't necessarily spark a Kiwi dollar rally
15th Mar 21, 8:46am
8th Mar 21, 8:27am
15
Roger J Kerr says forex investors and traders are focused on the US dollar and not keen to buy the NZ currency at such high levels
Roger J Kerr says forex investors and traders are focused on the US dollar and not keen to buy the NZ currency at such high levels
8th Mar 21, 8:27am
1st Mar 21, 8:14am
2
Roger J Kerr says the probability of a weaker NZ dollar has surged as US equity markets start to fall and long-term interest rates continue to climb
Roger J Kerr says the probability of a weaker NZ dollar has surged as US equity markets start to fall and long-term interest rates continue to climb
1st Mar 21, 8:14am
22nd Feb 21, 8:28am
7
Roger J Kerr says a more 'dovish' than expected statement from our central bank later this week will drive the Kiwi dollar sharply lower
Roger J Kerr says a more 'dovish' than expected statement from our central bank later this week will drive the Kiwi dollar sharply lower
22nd Feb 21, 8:28am
15th Feb 21, 7:58am
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s Monetary Policy Statement next stands out as a likely candidate to break the Kiwi dollar’s shackles
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s Monetary Policy Statement next stands out as a likely candidate to break the Kiwi dollar’s shackles
15th Feb 21, 7:58am

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