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Roger J Kerr

Roger J Kerr's picture
About: 

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for
11 years 2 months

Articles by Roger J Kerr

10th May 21, 8:27am
16
Roger J Kerr says there are a number of handbrakes adversely impacting on the NZ economy
Roger J Kerr says there are a number of handbrakes adversely impacting on the NZ economy
10th May 21, 8:27am
3rd May 21, 8:20am
2
Roger J Kerr says the March slide in the Kiwi dollar is shaping up to be repeated if the US dollar returns to its appreciating trend on the back of stronger US economic data and rising long-term US interest rates
Roger J Kerr says the March slide in the Kiwi dollar is shaping up to be repeated if the US dollar returns to its appreciating trend on the back of stronger US economic data and rising long-term US interest rates
3rd May 21, 8:20am
26th Apr 21, 8:36am
19
Roger J Kerr points out where the US dollar is heading, seeing a stronger period ahead. He also sees cracks appearing in overstretched speculative markets
Roger J Kerr points out where the US dollar is heading, seeing a stronger period ahead. He also sees cracks appearing in overstretched speculative markets
26th Apr 21, 8:36am
19th Apr 21, 8:45am
11
Roger J Kerr says the contrast between the current US and New Zealand economic trends is stark, worrying and negative for the NZ dollar
Roger J Kerr says the contrast between the current US and New Zealand economic trends is stark, worrying and negative for the NZ dollar
19th Apr 21, 8:45am
12th Apr 21, 8:28am
46
Roger J Kerr says the Government will struggle to understand the current deteriorating economic situation, let alone devise new policies to improve the economy’s performance
Roger J Kerr says the Government will struggle to understand the current deteriorating economic situation, let alone devise new policies to improve the economy’s performance
12th Apr 21, 8:28am
6th Apr 21, 7:59am
18
Roger J Kerr says as the halo has signs of starting to slip off PM Jacinda Ardern’s head, the Kiwi dollar is also now slipping in value in the unforgiving theatre of global currency markets
Roger J Kerr says as the halo has signs of starting to slip off PM Jacinda Ardern’s head, the Kiwi dollar is also now slipping in value in the unforgiving theatre of global currency markets
6th Apr 21, 7:59am
29th Mar 21, 8:34am
4
Roger J Kerr says the Govt's 'draconian' tax change around housing has 'dramatically eliminated' the prospect of New Zealand's monetary stimulus being unwound ahead of Australia
Roger J Kerr says the Govt's 'draconian' tax change around housing has 'dramatically eliminated' the prospect of New Zealand's monetary stimulus being unwound ahead of Australia
29th Mar 21, 8:34am
22nd Mar 21, 8:44am
16
Roger J Kerr says the Government's purported 'shovel ready' projects to replace the loss of activity in the tourism sector have not happened and don't look like happening any time soon
Roger J Kerr says the Government's purported 'shovel ready' projects to replace the loss of activity in the tourism sector have not happened and don't look like happening any time soon
22nd Mar 21, 8:44am
15th Mar 21, 8:46am
10
Roger J Kerr says the Aussie Government is decisive while our Government makes announcements about future announcements; an NZ win in the America's Cup won't necessarily spark a Kiwi dollar rally
Roger J Kerr says the Aussie Government is decisive while our Government makes announcements about future announcements; an NZ win in the America's Cup won't necessarily spark a Kiwi dollar rally
15th Mar 21, 8:46am
8th Mar 21, 8:27am
15
Roger J Kerr says forex investors and traders are focused on the US dollar and not keen to buy the NZ currency at such high levels
Roger J Kerr says forex investors and traders are focused on the US dollar and not keen to buy the NZ currency at such high levels
8th Mar 21, 8:27am
1st Mar 21, 8:14am
2
Roger J Kerr says the probability of a weaker NZ dollar has surged as US equity markets start to fall and long-term interest rates continue to climb
Roger J Kerr says the probability of a weaker NZ dollar has surged as US equity markets start to fall and long-term interest rates continue to climb
1st Mar 21, 8:14am
22nd Feb 21, 8:28am
7
Roger J Kerr says a more 'dovish' than expected statement from our central bank later this week will drive the Kiwi dollar sharply lower
Roger J Kerr says a more 'dovish' than expected statement from our central bank later this week will drive the Kiwi dollar sharply lower
22nd Feb 21, 8:28am
15th Feb 21, 7:58am
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s Monetary Policy Statement next stands out as a likely candidate to break the Kiwi dollar’s shackles
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s Monetary Policy Statement next stands out as a likely candidate to break the Kiwi dollar’s shackles
15th Feb 21, 7:58am
8th Feb 21, 11:02am
2
Roger J Kerr says those expecting the RBNZ to be more upbeat will be disappointed even though the string of good economic data extends. Those shorting the USD may be in for a nasty surprise
Roger J Kerr says those expecting the RBNZ to be more upbeat will be disappointed even though the string of good economic data extends. Those shorting the USD may be in for a nasty surprise
8th Feb 21, 11:02am
1st Feb 21, 8:34am
1
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD dropping below 70 USc over the next six months after the US delivers much stronger data and vaccine beneits start to flow. He also sees the NZD falling as the AUD takes an iron ore price hit
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD dropping below 70 USc over the next six months after the US delivers much stronger data and vaccine beneits start to flow. He also sees the NZD falling as the AUD takes an iron ore price hit
1st Feb 21, 8:34am
25th Jan 21, 8:12am
9
Roger J Kerr says RBNZ economic forecasting gurus need to spend more time talking to businesses at the coal-front of the economy and less time on the theory of calibrating their econometric models to what is happening in the rest of the world
Roger J Kerr says RBNZ economic forecasting gurus need to spend more time talking to businesses at the coal-front of the economy and less time on the theory of calibrating their econometric models to what is happening in the rest of the world
25th Jan 21, 8:12am
18th Jan 21, 8:20am
1
Roger J Kerr says market conditions and incentives have shifted in favour of the American currency
Roger J Kerr says market conditions and incentives have shifted in favour of the American currency
18th Jan 21, 8:20am
11th Jan 21, 8:21am
7
Roger J Kerr says positives fuelling equity markets ruled out any downward NZD correction so far, other financial market signals are mixed, and the local economic outlook is dimming
Roger J Kerr says positives fuelling equity markets ruled out any downward NZD correction so far, other financial market signals are mixed, and the local economic outlook is dimming
11th Jan 21, 8:21am
14th Dec 20, 8:08am
1
Roger J Kerr looks at some of the candidates that might cause a downward correction for the NZ dollar
Roger J Kerr looks at some of the candidates that might cause a downward correction for the NZ dollar
14th Dec 20, 8:08am
7th Dec 20, 8:30am
5
Long time Kiwi dollar bull Roger J Kerr concludes that our currency has now overcooked itself at current levels
Long time Kiwi dollar bull Roger J Kerr concludes that our currency has now overcooked itself at current levels
7th Dec 20, 8:30am
30th Nov 20, 8:54am
3
Roger J Kerr reflects on the positives and negatives for New Zealand during a most tumultuous year
Roger J Kerr reflects on the positives and negatives for New Zealand during a most tumultuous year
30th Nov 20, 8:54am
23rd Nov 20, 8:22am
11
Roger J Kerr says the probability of Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr making a special statement to jawbone the NZD down overtly and deliberately over the next few weeks has gone up several notches
Roger J Kerr says the probability of Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr making a special statement to jawbone the NZD down overtly and deliberately over the next few weeks has gone up several notches
23rd Nov 20, 8:22am
16th Nov 20, 8:20am
17
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank are already past that point of no return with too much stimulus for the current and future economic conditions
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank are already past that point of no return with too much stimulus for the current and future economic conditions
16th Nov 20, 8:20am
9th Nov 20, 8:29am
4
Roger J Kerr says any NZ dollar sell-off as a result of Reserve Bank currency jawboning this week will again be very short-lived and not sustainable against the more positive wider forces
Roger J Kerr says any NZ dollar sell-off as a result of Reserve Bank currency jawboning this week will again be very short-lived and not sustainable against the more positive wider forces
9th Nov 20, 8:29am
2nd Nov 20, 8:42am
6
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ appear to be assuming that exporters are not hedged and thus a higher currency vale will hinder our economic recovery
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ appear to be assuming that exporters are not hedged and thus a higher currency vale will hinder our economic recovery
2nd Nov 20, 8:42am

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