Roger J Kerr

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Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for
9 years 7 months

Articles by Roger J Kerr

16th Sep 19, 7:49am
12
Roger J Kerr says the Australian dollar, with its much improved economic fundamentals, now stands out as the currency of choice for global investors
Roger J Kerr says the Australian dollar, with its much improved economic fundamentals, now stands out as the currency of choice for global investors
16th Sep 19, 7:49am
9th Sep 19, 8:08am
39
Roger J Kerr says New Zealand may have to lead the way again in abandoning arbitrary inflation rate targets, as that regime is no longer fit for purpose
Roger J Kerr says New Zealand may have to lead the way again in abandoning arbitrary inflation rate targets, as that regime is no longer fit for purpose
9th Sep 19, 8:08am
2nd Sep 19, 8:14am
47
Roger J Kerr says so far the RBNZ's 50 basis point cut to the Official Cash Rate appears to be creating the exactly opposite effect to that intended on confidence
Roger J Kerr says so far the RBNZ's 50 basis point cut to the Official Cash Rate appears to be creating the exactly opposite effect to that intended on confidence
2nd Sep 19, 8:14am
26th Aug 19, 8:21am
6
Roger J Kerr questions whether the American dollar will continue to be a safe haven currency, with the financial and investment markets now seeing the trade wars directly damaging the US economy
Roger J Kerr questions whether the American dollar will continue to be a safe haven currency, with the financial and investment markets now seeing the trade wars directly damaging the US economy
26th Aug 19, 8:21am
19th Aug 19, 8:34am
21
Roger J Kerr says the chances are now improving that the US President will finally start to heed the advice of those who view the escalating trade wars as counter-productive and hurting the US economy - and the President's re-election chances
Roger J Kerr says the chances are now improving that the US President will finally start to heed the advice of those who view the escalating trade wars as counter-productive and hurting the US economy - and the President's re-election chances
19th Aug 19, 8:34am
12th Aug 19, 9:36am
23
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank is consistently surprising the markets with statements at odds to prior expectations - but the Kiwi dollar keeps bouncing back after the shocks
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank is consistently surprising the markets with statements at odds to prior expectations - but the Kiwi dollar keeps bouncing back after the shocks
12th Aug 19, 9:36am
5th Aug 19, 8:22am
8
Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar now looks undervalued again, with the major downside risk being if the Reserve Bank is gloomier at its OCR review this week than the market expects
Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar now looks undervalued again, with the major downside risk being if the Reserve Bank is gloomier at its OCR review this week than the market expects
5th Aug 19, 8:22am
29th Jul 19, 7:58am
3
Roger J Kerr says the US Fed Reserve will likely cut interest rates this week; the accompanying rhetoric on economic risks and future rate cuts will determine whether the US dollar holds its recent gains or recoils
Roger J Kerr says the US Fed Reserve will likely cut interest rates this week; the accompanying rhetoric on economic risks and future rate cuts will determine whether the US dollar holds its recent gains or recoils
29th Jul 19, 7:58am
22nd Jul 19, 8:18am
13
Roger J Kerr says spectacular increases in iron ore, coal and gold prices are producing massive positive cash flows and profits for the mining companies and boosting Aussie government royalty revenue inflows and stimulating investment into new mines
Roger J Kerr says spectacular increases in iron ore, coal and gold prices are producing massive positive cash flows and profits for the mining companies and boosting Aussie government royalty revenue inflows and stimulating investment into new mines
22nd Jul 19, 8:18am
15th Jul 19, 8:34am
6
Roger J Kerr says conventional economic “cause and effect” paradigms are out the window and the currency markets are just one part of the jig-saw trying to work out what it means for them
Roger J Kerr says conventional economic “cause and effect” paradigms are out the window and the currency markets are just one part of the jig-saw trying to work out what it means for them
15th Jul 19, 8:34am
8th Jul 19, 8:17am
6
Roger J Kerr says the strong US jobs figures in June will not in themselves be enough to deter the Federal Reserve from cutting American interest rates
Roger J Kerr says the strong US jobs figures in June will not in themselves be enough to deter the Federal Reserve from cutting American interest rates
8th Jul 19, 8:17am
1st Jul 19, 8:21am
4
Roger J Kerr says the negative forces on the NZ dollar have reduced in intensity, while the economy’s relative performance is still pretty good, so, further gains to above 0.6800 seem likely  
Roger J Kerr says the negative forces on the NZ dollar have reduced in intensity, while the economy’s relative performance is still pretty good, so, further gains to above 0.6800 seem likely  
1st Jul 19, 8:21am
24th Jun 19, 8:41am
10
Roger J Kerr reckons something positive has already happened behind the scenes that we haven't yet been told about in the US-China trade dispute and he sees upcoming developments as positive for our currency
Roger J Kerr reckons something positive has already happened behind the scenes that we haven't yet been told about in the US-China trade dispute and he sees upcoming developments as positive for our currency
24th Jun 19, 8:41am
17th Jun 19, 8:35am
7
Roger J Kerr says Thursday's GDP figures may be a key short term factor in whether the New Zealand dollar can push back upwards again
Roger J Kerr says Thursday's GDP figures may be a key short term factor in whether the New Zealand dollar can push back upwards again
17th Jun 19, 8:35am
10th Jun 19, 9:27am
2
Roger J Kerr says changing interest rate market pricing in the US has caused the American dollar to lose ground
Roger J Kerr says changing interest rate market pricing in the US has caused the American dollar to lose ground
10th Jun 19, 9:27am
3rd Jun 19, 8:28am
20
Roger J Kerr says selling of the Antipodean currencies may be exhausted, and the US greenback's rise could well prompt traders to reprise using the AUD and NZD as part of a safe haven strategy again
Roger J Kerr says selling of the Antipodean currencies may be exhausted, and the US greenback's rise could well prompt traders to reprise using the AUD and NZD as part of a safe haven strategy again
3rd Jun 19, 8:28am
27th May 19, 8:29am
21
Roger J Kerr says low inflation has only come about through the global technology revolution - but this has not stopped the price of household staple items increasing at a much faster rate
Roger J Kerr says low inflation has only come about through the global technology revolution - but this has not stopped the price of household staple items increasing at a much faster rate
27th May 19, 8:29am
20th May 19, 8:10am
12
Roger J Kerr says the unexpected victory of the Liberal National Coalition in Australia is likely to see a number of speculative positions unwound in the FX markets, resulting in large-scale buying of the Australian dollar
Roger J Kerr says the unexpected victory of the Liberal National Coalition in Australia is likely to see a number of speculative positions unwound in the FX markets, resulting in large-scale buying of the Australian dollar
20th May 19, 8:10am
13th May 19, 8:35am
1
Roger J Kerr says if the RBNZ hope that lower mortgage interest rates will stimulate more consumer spending and that demand will push up prices in the economy, they will be disappointed
Roger J Kerr says if the RBNZ hope that lower mortgage interest rates will stimulate more consumer spending and that demand will push up prices in the economy, they will be disappointed
13th May 19, 8:35am
6th May 19, 8:13am
13
Roger J Kerr explains why he thinks neither the Reserve Bank of New Zealand nor its Australian counterpart will cut rates this week
Roger J Kerr explains why he thinks neither the Reserve Bank of New Zealand nor its Australian counterpart will cut rates this week
6th May 19, 8:13am

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